Ah yes, because it’s the west’s fault for invading Ukraine and the west is in control of the Russian military so they could pull out anytime. Of course Ukraine clearly doesn’t speak for itself as well and It’s not like Zelensky hasn’t appealed to Russia to stop?
While nothing justified Russian invasion of Ukraine, it’s reductionist to ignore the reasons behind why the invasion happened. The war is a result of tensions that were largely escalated by NATO, and plenty of experts in the west have been warning about this for many years now. Here’s what Chomsky has to say on the issue recently:
50 prominent foreign policy experts (former senators, military officers, diplomats, etc.) sent an open letter to Clinton outlining their opposition to NATO expansion back in 1997:
George Kennan, arguably America's greatest ever foreign policy strategist, the architect of the U.S. cold war strategy warned that NATO expansion was a "tragic mistake" that ought to ultimately provoke a "bad reaction from Russia" back in 1998.
Jack F. Matlock Jr., US Ambassador to the Soviet Union from 1987-1991, warning in 1997 that NATO expansion was "the most profound strategic blunder, [encouraging] a chain of events that could produce the most serious security threat [...] since the Soviet Union collapsed"
These and many other voices were marginalized, silenced, and ignored. Yet, now people are trying to rewrite history and pretend that Russia attacked Ukraine out of the blue and completely unprovoked.
I fail to understand the actual treat to Russia from NATO. Because even if all bordering countries would join NATO. There is no way Russia will ever get attacked. It’s has the 1st or 2nd largest nuclear arsenal in the world. There is no way a neighbor would attack Russia. A neighbor is even more easy to bomb than the USA. Even with much less nuclear power, the level of deterrence would be well enough to fear nothing from a military standpoint.
So a preventive war for this makes no sense. The Russian government can still claim otherwise to have an excuse to start this war.
Even if Ukraine would have been more successfully manipulated by the western governments than the Russian one. A preventive war still makes no sense. It’s not like the Russian government care for the Ukrainian people having a right of self-determination and would want to help them do so.
The only things that matters in the end is that Russia sees NATO as a threat, and NATO has done absolutely nothing to change that perception. Simply repeating that NATO isn’t a threat while continuously expanding it towards the Russian border and attacking countries for past 30 years isn’t exactly helping make the case that it’s a benign entity.
The irony with Russia’s actions here is they may well backfire. Countries that were previously debating membership may finally decide that any downside of NATO membership is nothing compared to the threat of being the next country that Russia invades. Russia already has invaded two of its neighbors and holds the loyalties of Belarus under a dictator. Russia has openly threatened Finland and Sweden. The invasion of Ukraine has caused support for membership to surge in both of those countries.
Countries are joining NATO because they fear Russia. If Russia didn’t want countries joining NATO, maybe they shouldn’t threaten their neighbors? It’s not exactly making the case that it’s a benign entity.
I don’t think you understand what’s going to happen to western economies in the coming months. As energy prices shoot through the roof that means that costs for everything will as well. All the necessities, food, transport, are going to become unaffordable for the vast majority of the people. I wonder what will happen then…
I’m aware that there will be a severe cost, especially to Europe. I see it as that much more significant, that countries are willing to significantly impact their own economy to protect Ukraine. This is of course in the midst of existing supply chain issues. I’m sad that the people who are going to be hurt the most will ultimately be your everyday Russia person and not the richest Russians who have more power to strongarm Putin out of power. Any damage the West will feel with by felt many times over in Russia, given how much smaller their economy is.
These decisions were made in hysteria without any preparation or planning. The results will be horrific and most people in Europe are not prepared for this. Russia planned for this for nearly a decade and thinking that the damage Russia will feel will be greater than the damage the west feels is utterly delusional. Western bankers understand this and that’s precisely why they all begged not to do this.
Obviously, there’s nothing I can say to convince you, but we’ll all see what will be happening in the coming months.
Pretty much the breakdown to your argument is this (as mostly cited from your sources).
West wants to incorporate Ukraine as part of the west. This challenges Russia’s influence and leadership and therefore to paraphrase the video: “Russia doesn’t want that to happen and will do everything it can to stop that”
And the west is doing that by trying to get Ukraine into NATO and into the EU.
Which… sure, you can infer that the west is strictly doing this for exploitative reasons (the same argument applies with Russia). However have you considered that Ukraine may want to be part of the west?
It’s also kinda bullshit to deny someone’s participation in an organisation like the EU just because they are neighbour of Russia. Some of the above points in your comment can be reduce to: “Don’t include Ukraine or any neighbours of Russia into EU because that will make Russia mad”. However I get why the authors are making these recommendations because it is coming from the angle of US security first and foremost.
What you have also failed to grasp here is how the word fault fits in the lecture. Their point here is to explain that “the west could have done better here” rather than “The west triggered this” because he leverages a lot of blame of particular incidents (violent and undemocratic actions) with Russia but asks us to reflect and consider how we could have handled it differently.
Funnily enough the video appears to have once again, shown the timeline of events which opposes your view. I don’t know how you keep doing this where you constantly quote sources which seem to defeat your own viewpoint and arguments made in the past and now.
With the first quote above and the following quote:
“Russia has gone through great lengths to make sure that those pro-russian forces in eastern Ukraine are capable of maintaining a certain amount of independence” when talking the separatists.
This captures the volatility of the situation with Russia and how much they want control over neighboring countries, regardless if that country wants their influence or not. Pretty much I think you have failed to see that… the authors you have quoted here are treating Russia as volatile and expansionist nation. Once again, this is mixed in with their their goal to maintain US security.
The problem with the George Kennan’s argument is that people were being threatened in Europe back in 91-98 where Russia was actively involved in conflicts, it’s revisionist to say “No one was threatening anyone else” and its also a little absurd coming from someone whose job was to ‘contain’ the soviet union and to reduce their influence. There is more at play with Russia than what Kennan infers at the time of his note. Some contributing factors here: You have the hyper-capitalist turn with Yeltsin at the helm, division of territories, loss of power and rise of oligarchs in the new capitalist system.
The authors general consensus is best reduced to: “Russia doesn’t want the west involved in any matters relating to its neighbours”. However, that’s not a decision that Russia gets to make (and the USA shouldn’t get to make that decision either). The authors make it clear that “Russia will get violent if you do get involved”, once again… not okay for Russia to do and it hypocritical to question involvement when they also get involved.
Personally the Ivan Katchanovski article was the biggest red flag that you seem to actively seek out pro-Russian sources to support your world view. It’s fine to do that but balance it out.
Yet, now people are trying to rewrite history and pretend that Russia attacked Ukraine out of the blue and completely unprovoked.
No, you are trying to make it seem like that is the case. The tensions were there however the level of escalation that Russia took was unacceptable as with most of their actions prior to this.
Which… sure, you can infer that the west is strictly doing this for exploitative reasons (the same argument applies with Russia). However have you considered that Ukraine may want to be part of the west?
Have you considered that Ukraine is not a homogeneous blob that you’re making out to be and has had a civil war over this issue for the past 8 years?
Furthermore, have you considered that the west has been interfering and manipulating Ukrainian politics which culminated in a coup against the democratically elected government in 2014?
What you have also failed to grasp here is how the word fault fits in the lecture.
What you appear to grasp that the sort of posturing you’re engaged in doesn’t actually achieve any positive results. The reality is that either the west tries to find way to work with Russia constructively or we get closer to a nuclear holocaust. If you don’t understand why that should be avoided at all costs, I really don’t know what else to tell you.
No, you are trying to make it seem like that is the case. The tensions were there however the level of escalation that Russia took was unacceptable as with most of their actions prior to this.
You’ve literally engaged in doing this in your comment. What is or isn’t acceptable in international politics comes down to what countries can get away with doing. That’s the reality we live in. Russia feels that it’s strong enough to challenge the west and they’re doing it. Wars happens when both sides feel that they have a good chance of winning. Once again, if you don’t understand the danger to humanity from a conflict between Russia and the west then there’s no point having any further discussion.
Furthermore, have you considered that the west has been interfering and manipulating Ukrainian politics which culminated in a coup against the democratically elected government in 2014?
How much has that weighted and how much the pre-2014 government was legitimate. I’m open to the possibility that yes, the country governance could have been stolen from the people by the west. But also it’s totally makes sense to have a wide willingness to join the EU for economic reasons. And to have a willingness to join NATO after the 2008 Russo-Georgian War. Both would be completely legitimate.
The Russian government has been trying to manipulate Ukraine very strongly also so it’s difficult to tell if the governments wanting join the west was illegitimate.
Russia wasn’t the one that ran a coup in Ukraine, and they were perfectly fine with Ukraine having a neutral government that worked with both the west and Russia.
Have you considered that Ukraine is not a homogeneous blob that you’re making out to be and has had a civil war over this issue for the past 8 years?
Yes I can very clearly see why this situation is a quagmire. However, financing and militarising an ethnic minority of a country on your border makes it incredibly evident you are happy to create an insurgency in that country. To also utilise your troops in that said country, to seize that their land is an act of war (ie Crimea).
There is evidence prior to 2014 that majority wanted to be part of the EU.
There is evidence now, even in territories previously against being part of the EU that they are supportive of being part of the EU.
To paraphrase the video you linked, it’s Russia coming in and wanting to wreck the country.
Furthermore, have you considered that the west has been interfering and manipulating Ukrainian politics which culminated in a coup against the democratically elected government in 2014?
Sure! I do agree that there is obviously some backing by the US and EU during EuroMaidan and Orange Revolution. These are typical goals of US foreign policy, however you have to enlighten me outside of Katchanovski’s articles that EuroMaidan was all completely orchestrated by the US/EU, Berkut didn’t fire on protestors, Yanukovych isn’t corrupt and there is no evidence of election meddling
What is or isn’t acceptable in international politics comes down to what countries can get away with doing. That’s the reality we live in.
Sure, we will tell everyone participating in this conversation to turn of their sense of morality. You can kind of fuck off with this if this is your rationale when engaging with people upset about the situation. It’s a failure to empathise and to adequately educate on your behalf.
I think people can comprehend that countries do bastard things, doesn’t mean they have to approve of it or feel indifferent because “That’s just geopol lol!”.
Russia feels that it’s strong enough to challenge the west and they’re doing it. Once again, if you don’t understand the danger to humanity from a conflict between Russia and the west then there’s no point having any further discussion.
What is this point really? People understand the danger here and the country presenting the threat upon the world here. De-escalation has been an objective here but it’s also a case where a country shouldn’t let their sovereignty be violated because of threats. It’s just appeasing Russia then and letting them take what they want.
The reality is that either the west tries to find way to work with Russia constructively or we get closer to a nuclear holocaust. If you don’t understand why that should be avoided at all costs, I really don’t know what else to tell you.
I get a sense that you are blaming the west for Russia acting aggressive. I don’t doubt that they have acted against Russia’s interest and vice-versa but to warrant the use of nuclear weapons is an escalation which is completely irrational. Obviously the west is trying to avoid a situation where Russia will respond with nuclear weapons.
Yes I can very clearly see why this situation is a quagmire. However, financing and militarising an ethnic minority of a country on your border makes it incredibly evident you are happy to create an insurgency in that country.
The only ethnic minority is the western Ukraine, which used to be known as Galicia. These are the nationalists the west put in charge.
To also utilise your troops in that said country, to seize that their land is an act of war (ie Crimea).
Fun fact, the troops were already in Crimea because the legitimate government had a deal with Russia to have them stationed there. When the government was overthrown, Crimea voted to join Russia in a referendum because Crimea is populated by Russians and was part of Russia until the 70s when Khrushchev gave it to Ukraine.
however you have to enlighten me outside of Katchanovski’s articles that EuroMaidan was all completely orchestrated by the US/EU, Berkut didn’t fire on protestors, Yanukovych isn’t corrupt and there is no evidence of election meddling
The fact that the west played a big role in orchestrating EuroMaidan is well documented and it’s frankly dishonest to continue trying to dismiss that.
Sure, we will tell everyone participating in this conversation to turn of their sense of morality.
If westerners had any sense of morality than they’d equally care about a literal genocide NATO is participating in Yemen right now, what NATO is doing in Syria and Somolia, and what Israel i doing in Palestine. Given that you lot have been silent on all these horrors that are far worse than what’s happening in Ukraine, you expose yourselves as being utterly immoral. The fact that it’s only Ukraine that westerners care about clearly shows that it’s never been about human rights or morals.
I think people can comprehend that countries do bastard things, doesn’t mean they have to approve of it or feel indifferent because “That’s just geopol lol!”.
Nice straw man there bud. What I actually said was that the west should be trying to figure out how to work with Russia constructively by recognizing their concerns and try to avoid wars. Instead, you chose to sacrifice Ukrainian lives to fight a proxy war with Russia while bloviating about morals. It’s frankly sickening to watch.
What is this point really? People understand the danger here and the country presenting the threat upon the world here. De-escalation has been an objective here but it’s also a case where a country shouldn’t let their sovereignty be violated because of threats. It’s just appeasing Russia then and letting them take what they want.
De-escalation absolutely has not been an objective here from the west. Literally everything the west has done since 2014 escalated the conflict until it turned into an open war, and the west continues to escalate today.
I get a sense that you are blaming the west for Russia acting aggressive.
Moralizing is what you’re doing. I’m engaging with reality and saying that unless the two sides start finding ways to understand each others concerns then things will continue to escalate and we will end up with a nuclear holocaust in the end. I highly recommend reading up on all the times we almost had a nuclear war completely unintentionally during the Cold War.
Which from the statistics are mostly in Eastern Ukraine and Crimea.
Fun fact, the troops were already in Crimea because the legitimate government had a deal with Russia to have them stationed there. When the government was overthrown, Crimea voted to join Russia in a referendum because Crimea is populated by Russians and was part of Russia until the 70s when Khrushchev gave it to Ukraine.
Ah yes, because running a referendum where the options are skewed in favour of the instigator while you have troops present in that country’s land is really cool and democratic.
Here are some sources for you
I have already broken these articles down in previous posts and in the post above (Exception being the Gravel Institute one but that doesn’t really reveal anything new). I even said not to throw Katchanovski articles at me, but here we are. Also, Katchanovski is literally the only article you have there that actively takes a look at EuroMaidan fully and its filled with inaccuracies, a flawed premise and references that don’t even work or are rubbish. It’s not even peer reviewed.
But seriously, I have to call you out on this again, there is little substance here that links them outside of Katchanovski’s article which is not remotely trustworthy.
If westerners had any sense of morality than they’d equally care about a literal genocide NATO is participating in Yemen right now, what NATO is doing in Syria and Somolia, and what Israel i doing in Palestine.
Ah yes, all westerners are, including me, condone the actions of our governments all the time. We definitely do not protest or oppose these organisations either. Once again, you’re just screaming into the void and it’s sad.
Given that you lot have been silent on all these horrors that are far worse than what’s happening in Ukraine, you expose yourselves as being utterly immoral. The fact that it’s only Ukraine that westerners care about clearly shows that it’s never been about human rights or morals.
BRUH, You don’t even know me, seriously. You have invented things about me and westerners so you can throw them at me. I can at least attest in the city I live in, I could probably run into a pro-palestine rally happening in the CBD every second week. It’s rubbish to think that these movements don’t occur or that westerners are uncaring. I could apply similar logic to the Russian and Chinese people but that would be idiotic.
Nice straw man there bud. What I actually said was that the west should be trying to figure out how to work with Russia constructively by recognizing their concerns and try to avoid wars. Instead, you chose to sacrifice Ukrainian lives to fight a proxy war with Russia while bloviating about morals. It’s frankly sickening to watch.
What is or isn’t acceptable in international politics comes down to what countries can get away with doing. That’s the reality we live in.
Dude, you literally said this, I can’t help you if you don’t even know what you say anymore.
Anyway, no one wants a war. The west didn’t start the war, Ukraine has a right to defend itself and countries have the right to support Ukraine’s existence, Ukraine has a right to defend its sovereignty when it is violated by another actor. Ukrainians have a choice to engage in the war itself or flee. Effectively your viewpoint is where you blame the the west for sacrificing Ukrainians because Russia attacked. Just no…
De-escalation absolutely has not been an objective here from the west. Literally everything the west has done since 2014 escalated the conflict until it turned into an open war, and the west continues to escalate today.
Ah yes, because annexation is a reasonable response to a neighbouring nation in crisis when a coup occurs. And we the west clearly didn’t want to cooperate with the Minsk and Minsk 2 negotiations at all. Russia has definitely not been invited in the talks as well…
I finish this with something to effectively staple a point here.
My phrasing was referring to the ethnic minority of Russian by the Ukrainian census
A rather arbitrary separation on your part. Russian speaking Ukrainians have a lot in common with Russians, and this demographic is in no way a minority. Meanwhile, western backed regime literally outlawed the use of Russian in the country. I’m old enough to remember all the cries about cultural genocide in Xinjiang because Uyghurs had to learn Chinese and China hasn’t even banned Uyghur language. Shouldn’t we be applying the same standards in Ukraine?
Ah yes, because running a referendum where the options are skewed in favour of the instigator while you have troops present in that country’s land is really cool and democratic.
Funny how you chose to ignore the fact that Crimea is populated by Russians. I guess that doesn’t fit the narrative you’re trying to create.
But seriously, I have to call you out on this again, there is little substance here that links them outside of Katchanovski’s article which is not remotely trustworthy.
Once again you’re showing incredible amounts of dishonesty here. There’s really nothing else to say here.
Ah yes, all westerners are, including me, condone the actions of our governments all the time. We definitely do not protest or oppose these organisations either. Once again, you’re just screaming into the void and it’s sad.
If you disapprove of the actions of your government and aren’t able to hold it accountable you have no business screeching about Russia. It’s really that simple.
Meanwhile, the media coverage of what’s happening in Ukraine is on a completely different level from media coverage of exact same things being done by western powers. Pretending that Ukraine is somehow an outlier that everyone should focus on directly helps cover for ongoing western crimes.
BRUH, You don’t even know me, seriously.
BRUH, I’ve seen you here bloviating exclusively about Ukraine and nothing else. If you care about the horrors that your government engages in equally as much it’s rather weird that you only talk about Ukraine.
Dude, you literally said this, I can’t help you if you don’t even know what you say anymore.
I literally provided context for what I said that you ignored to make your straw man.
Anyway, no one wants a war. The west didn’t start the war, Ukraine has a right to defend itself and countries have the right to support Ukraine’s existence, Ukraine has a right to defend its sovereignty when it is violated by another actor.
The west is directly responsible for creating the situation that led to the war starting with overthrowing the government in Ukraine in 2014. Continuing the narrative that west did nothing wrong isn’t helping anything. The west cynically used Ukraine and then discarded it. That’s what actually happened.
Effectively your viewpoint is where you blame the the west for sacrificing Ukrainians because Russia attacked. Just no…
No, my view point is that the west should find a way to negotiate with Russia instead of pushing us towards a world war. If you can’t understand that then there’s nothing else to say to you.
Ah yes, because annexation is a reasonable response to a neighbouring nation in crisis when a coup occurs.
Once again you’re doing moralizing. The invasion happened, and no amount of grandstanding is going to change that. The question now is how to reduce human suffering and avoid a world war. Anybody who is not utterly insane understands this, but you evidently do not.
You literally deserve no respect now. It was fun and I have tried to be nice but… you weirdly support a fascist regime and you’re actually racist.
I’ve repeatedly denounced Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and stated that it’s utterly unjustified. I love how you ignore that and keep claiming that I support the invasion. You’re an intellectually dishonest individual.
Funny how you chose to ignore the fact that Crimea is populated by Russians. I guess that doesn’t fit the narrative you’re trying to create.
And yet, it’s part of Ukraine! With a referendum observed by Russia and not Ukraine… interesting.
BRUH, I’ve seen you here bloviating exclusively about Ukraine and nothing else. If you care about the horrors that your government engages in equally as much it’s rather weird that you only talk about Ukraine.
Once again, you do not know me outside of this platform or the actions I do elsewhere. You can’t assert shit here.
The west is directly responsible for creating the situation that led to the war starting with overthrowing the government in Ukraine in 2014. Continuing the narrative that west did nothing wrong isn’t helping anything. The west cynically used Ukraine and then discarded it. That’s what actually happened.
This line of logic is a stretch and suggesting I am continuing a narrative that the west did nothing wrong is also wrong. Good try though!
No, my view point is that the west should find a way to negotiate with Russia instead of pushing us towards a world war. If you can’t understand that then there’s nothing else to say to you.
However, you are assuming that this isn’t happening? What mystical source can you conjure that implies the west has done absolutely nothing to de-escalate? This baseless shit feeds into propaganda.
Once again you’re doing moralizing. The invasion happened, and no amount of grandstanding is going to change that. The question now is how to reduce human suffering and avoid a world war. Anybody who is not utterly insane understands this, but you evidently do not.
Grandstanding isn’t the objective here, you rationalise propaganda, you link propaganda and if you didn’t respond to messages I would have suspected that you were a propaganda bot.
It’s so weird that you actively rationalise the actions of a fascist regime and even dismiss concerns people have had over the actions this regime has done. You get called out because your arguments and sources aren’t lining up here and you have posted prop in this community. To really exemplify this: You have literally linked a conspiracy theory article!
I’ve repeatedly denounced Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and stated that it’s utterly unjustified. I love how you ignore that and keep claiming that I support the invasion. You’re an intellectually dishonest individual.
Congrats, you have denounced an invasion! Not necessarily the point I am making but more the weird objectives you have of the west instead of Russia. It reads like propaganda because you are spouting propaganda.
You’re an intellectually dishonest individual.
Says the person who has literally linked a conspiracy theory articles and tried to pass it off as legitimate source of information.
If you disapprove of the actions of your government and aren’t able to hold it accountable you have no business screeching about Russia. It’s really that simple.
Ah yes, the classic “Well you haven’t fixed your government, you can’t comment on other governments” angle. Before ‘screeching’ as you have said about the west or anything else, fix things with your own government then :)
Seriously that’s gatekeeping shit here.
Once again! Your responses give me a great chuckle :)
Spamming ofRepeat of your previous comment : https://lemmy.ml/post/184804/comment/126044 Edit : Now i can cut and paste when i answer questions …i will try to avoid it to improve user’s experience
If I have to address the same argument repeatedly then why wouldn’t I use the comment I’ve already written? Not sure why you think that’s some kind of a gotcha.
Ah yes, because it’s the west’s fault for invading Ukraine and the west is in control of the Russian military so they could pull out anytime. Of course Ukraine clearly doesn’t speak for itself as well and It’s not like Zelensky hasn’t appealed to Russia to stop?
It’s all so clear.
While nothing justified Russian invasion of Ukraine, it’s reductionist to ignore the reasons behind why the invasion happened. The war is a result of tensions that were largely escalated by NATO, and plenty of experts in the west have been warning about this for many years now. Here’s what Chomsky has to say on the issue recently:
https://truthout.org/articles/us-approach-to-ukraine-and-russia-has-left-the-domain-of-rational-discourse/
https://truthout.org/articles/noam-chomsky-us-military-escalation-against-russia-would-have-no-victors/
50 prominent foreign policy experts (former senators, military officers, diplomats, etc.) sent an open letter to Clinton outlining their opposition to NATO expansion back in 1997:
George Kennan, arguably America's greatest ever foreign policy strategist, the architect of the U.S. cold war strategy warned that NATO expansion was a "tragic mistake" that ought to ultimately provoke a "bad reaction from Russia" back in 1998.
Jack F. Matlock Jr., US Ambassador to the Soviet Union from 1987-1991, warning in 1997 that NATO expansion was "the most profound strategic blunder, [encouraging] a chain of events that could produce the most serious security threat [...] since the Soviet Union collapsed"
Academics, such as John Mearsheimer, gave talks explaining why NATO actions would ultimately lead to conflict this https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrMiSQAGOS4
These and many other voices were marginalized, silenced, and ignored. Yet, now people are trying to rewrite history and pretend that Russia attacked Ukraine out of the blue and completely unprovoked.
Thanks for the resources.
I fail to understand the actual treat to Russia from NATO. Because even if all bordering countries would join NATO. There is no way Russia will ever get attacked. It’s has the 1st or 2nd largest nuclear arsenal in the world. There is no way a neighbor would attack Russia. A neighbor is even more easy to bomb than the USA. Even with much less nuclear power, the level of deterrence would be well enough to fear nothing from a military standpoint.
So a preventive war for this makes no sense. The Russian government can still claim otherwise to have an excuse to start this war.
Even if Ukraine would have been more successfully manipulated by the western governments than the Russian one. A preventive war still makes no sense. It’s not like the Russian government care for the Ukrainian people having a right of self-determination and would want to help them do so.
The only things that matters in the end is that Russia sees NATO as a threat, and NATO has done absolutely nothing to change that perception. Simply repeating that NATO isn’t a threat while continuously expanding it towards the Russian border and attacking countries for past 30 years isn’t exactly helping make the case that it’s a benign entity.
The irony with Russia’s actions here is they may well backfire. Countries that were previously debating membership may finally decide that any downside of NATO membership is nothing compared to the threat of being the next country that Russia invades. Russia already has invaded two of its neighbors and holds the loyalties of Belarus under a dictator. Russia has openly threatened Finland and Sweden. The invasion of Ukraine has caused support for membership to surge in both of those countries.
Countries are joining NATO because they fear Russia. If Russia didn’t want countries joining NATO, maybe they shouldn’t threaten their neighbors? It’s not exactly making the case that it’s a benign entity.
I don’t think you understand what’s going to happen to western economies in the coming months. As energy prices shoot through the roof that means that costs for everything will as well. All the necessities, food, transport, are going to become unaffordable for the vast majority of the people. I wonder what will happen then…
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/european-gas-prices-trading-at-equivalent-of-over-500-per-barrel-11646660413
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Options-Traders-Are-Betting-On-300-Oil.html
I’m aware that there will be a severe cost, especially to Europe. I see it as that much more significant, that countries are willing to significantly impact their own economy to protect Ukraine. This is of course in the midst of existing supply chain issues. I’m sad that the people who are going to be hurt the most will ultimately be your everyday Russia person and not the richest Russians who have more power to strongarm Putin out of power. Any damage the West will feel with by felt many times over in Russia, given how much smaller their economy is.
These decisions were made in hysteria without any preparation or planning. The results will be horrific and most people in Europe are not prepared for this. Russia planned for this for nearly a decade and thinking that the damage Russia will feel will be greater than the damage the west feels is utterly delusional. Western bankers understand this and that’s precisely why they all begged not to do this.
Obviously, there’s nothing I can say to convince you, but we’ll all see what will be happening in the coming months.
Pretty much the breakdown to your argument is this (as mostly cited from your sources).
And the west is doing that by trying to get Ukraine into NATO and into the EU.
Which… sure, you can infer that the west is strictly doing this for exploitative reasons (the same argument applies with Russia). However have you considered that Ukraine may want to be part of the west?
It’s also kinda bullshit to deny someone’s participation in an organisation like the EU just because they are neighbour of Russia. Some of the above points in your comment can be reduce to: “Don’t include Ukraine or any neighbours of Russia into EU because that will make Russia mad”. However I get why the authors are making these recommendations because it is coming from the angle of US security first and foremost.
What you have also failed to grasp here is how the word fault fits in the lecture. Their point here is to explain that “the west could have done better here” rather than “The west triggered this” because he leverages a lot of blame of particular incidents (violent and undemocratic actions) with Russia but asks us to reflect and consider how we could have handled it differently.
Funnily enough the video appears to have once again, shown the timeline of events which opposes your view. I don’t know how you keep doing this where you constantly quote sources which seem to defeat your own viewpoint and arguments made in the past and now.
With the first quote above and the following quote: “Russia has gone through great lengths to make sure that those pro-russian forces in eastern Ukraine are capable of maintaining a certain amount of independence” when talking the separatists.
This captures the volatility of the situation with Russia and how much they want control over neighboring countries, regardless if that country wants their influence or not. Pretty much I think you have failed to see that… the authors you have quoted here are treating Russia as volatile and expansionist nation. Once again, this is mixed in with their their goal to maintain US security.
The problem with the George Kennan’s argument is that people were being threatened in Europe back in 91-98 where Russia was actively involved in conflicts, it’s revisionist to say “No one was threatening anyone else” and its also a little absurd coming from someone whose job was to ‘contain’ the soviet union and to reduce their influence. There is more at play with Russia than what Kennan infers at the time of his note. Some contributing factors here: You have the hyper-capitalist turn with Yeltsin at the helm, division of territories, loss of power and rise of oligarchs in the new capitalist system.
The authors general consensus is best reduced to: “Russia doesn’t want the west involved in any matters relating to its neighbours”. However, that’s not a decision that Russia gets to make (and the USA shouldn’t get to make that decision either). The authors make it clear that “Russia will get violent if you do get involved”, once again… not okay for Russia to do and it hypocritical to question involvement when they also get involved.
Personally the Ivan Katchanovski article was the biggest red flag that you seem to actively seek out pro-Russian sources to support your world view. It’s fine to do that but balance it out.
No, you are trying to make it seem like that is the case. The tensions were there however the level of escalation that Russia took was unacceptable as with most of their actions prior to this.
Have you considered that Ukraine is not a homogeneous blob that you’re making out to be and has had a civil war over this issue for the past 8 years?
Furthermore, have you considered that the west has been interfering and manipulating Ukrainian politics which culminated in a coup against the democratically elected government in 2014?
What you appear to grasp that the sort of posturing you’re engaged in doesn’t actually achieve any positive results. The reality is that either the west tries to find way to work with Russia constructively or we get closer to a nuclear holocaust. If you don’t understand why that should be avoided at all costs, I really don’t know what else to tell you.
You’ve literally engaged in doing this in your comment. What is or isn’t acceptable in international politics comes down to what countries can get away with doing. That’s the reality we live in. Russia feels that it’s strong enough to challenge the west and they’re doing it. Wars happens when both sides feel that they have a good chance of winning. Once again, if you don’t understand the danger to humanity from a conflict between Russia and the west then there’s no point having any further discussion.
How much has that weighted and how much the pre-2014 government was legitimate. I’m open to the possibility that yes, the country governance could have been stolen from the people by the west. But also it’s totally makes sense to have a wide willingness to join the EU for economic reasons. And to have a willingness to join NATO after the 2008 Russo-Georgian War. Both would be completely legitimate.
The Russian government has been trying to manipulate Ukraine very strongly also so it’s difficult to tell if the governments wanting join the west was illegitimate.
Russia wasn’t the one that ran a coup in Ukraine, and they were perfectly fine with Ukraine having a neutral government that worked with both the west and Russia.
Yes I can very clearly see why this situation is a quagmire. However, financing and militarising an ethnic minority of a country on your border makes it incredibly evident you are happy to create an insurgency in that country. To also utilise your troops in that said country, to seize that their land is an act of war (ie Crimea).
To paraphrase the video you linked, it’s Russia coming in and wanting to wreck the country.
Sure! I do agree that there is obviously some backing by the US and EU during EuroMaidan and Orange Revolution. These are typical goals of US foreign policy, however you have to enlighten me outside of Katchanovski’s articles that EuroMaidan was all completely orchestrated by the US/EU, Berkut didn’t fire on protestors, Yanukovych isn’t corrupt and there is no evidence of election meddling
Sure, we will tell everyone participating in this conversation to turn of their sense of morality. You can kind of fuck off with this if this is your rationale when engaging with people upset about the situation. It’s a failure to empathise and to adequately educate on your behalf.
I think people can comprehend that countries do bastard things, doesn’t mean they have to approve of it or feel indifferent because “That’s just geopol lol!”.
What is this point really? People understand the danger here and the country presenting the threat upon the world here. De-escalation has been an objective here but it’s also a case where a country shouldn’t let their sovereignty be violated because of threats. It’s just appeasing Russia then and letting them take what they want.
I get a sense that you are blaming the west for Russia acting aggressive. I don’t doubt that they have acted against Russia’s interest and vice-versa but to warrant the use of nuclear weapons is an escalation which is completely irrational. Obviously the west is trying to avoid a situation where Russia will respond with nuclear weapons.
The only ethnic minority is the western Ukraine, which used to be known as Galicia. These are the nationalists the west put in charge.
Fun fact, the troops were already in Crimea because the legitimate government had a deal with Russia to have them stationed there. When the government was overthrown, Crimea voted to join Russia in a referendum because Crimea is populated by Russians and was part of Russia until the 70s when Khrushchev gave it to Ukraine.
Here are some sources for you
The fact that the west played a big role in orchestrating EuroMaidan is well documented and it’s frankly dishonest to continue trying to dismiss that.
If westerners had any sense of morality than they’d equally care about a literal genocide NATO is participating in Yemen right now, what NATO is doing in Syria and Somolia, and what Israel i doing in Palestine. Given that you lot have been silent on all these horrors that are far worse than what’s happening in Ukraine, you expose yourselves as being utterly immoral. The fact that it’s only Ukraine that westerners care about clearly shows that it’s never been about human rights or morals.
Nice straw man there bud. What I actually said was that the west should be trying to figure out how to work with Russia constructively by recognizing their concerns and try to avoid wars. Instead, you chose to sacrifice Ukrainian lives to fight a proxy war with Russia while bloviating about morals. It’s frankly sickening to watch.
De-escalation absolutely has not been an objective here from the west. Literally everything the west has done since 2014 escalated the conflict until it turned into an open war, and the west continues to escalate today.
Moralizing is what you’re doing. I’m engaging with reality and saying that unless the two sides start finding ways to understand each others concerns then things will continue to escalate and we will end up with a nuclear holocaust in the end. I highly recommend reading up on all the times we almost had a nuclear war completely unintentionally during the Cold War.
Welp this was easy, once again… it has been fun :)
My phrasing was referring to the ethnic minority of Russian by the Ukrainian census: https://web.archive.org/web/20111217151026/http://2001.ukrcensus.gov.ua/eng/results/general/nationality/
Which from the statistics are mostly in Eastern Ukraine and Crimea.
Ah yes, because running a referendum where the options are skewed in favour of the instigator while you have troops present in that country’s land is really cool and democratic.
I have already broken these articles down in previous posts and in the post above (Exception being the Gravel Institute one but that doesn’t really reveal anything new). I even said not to throw Katchanovski articles at me, but here we are. Also, Katchanovski is literally the only article you have there that actively takes a look at EuroMaidan fully and its filled with inaccuracies, a flawed premise and references that don’t even work or are rubbish. It’s not even peer reviewed.
But seriously, I have to call you out on this again, there is little substance here that links them outside of Katchanovski’s article which is not remotely trustworthy.
Ah yes, all westerners are, including me, condone the actions of our governments all the time. We definitely do not protest or oppose these organisations either. Once again, you’re just screaming into the void and it’s sad.
BRUH, You don’t even know me, seriously. You have invented things about me and westerners so you can throw them at me. I can at least attest in the city I live in, I could probably run into a pro-palestine rally happening in the CBD every second week. It’s rubbish to think that these movements don’t occur or that westerners are uncaring. I could apply similar logic to the Russian and Chinese people but that would be idiotic.
Dude, you literally said this, I can’t help you if you don’t even know what you say anymore.
Anyway, no one wants a war. The west didn’t start the war, Ukraine has a right to defend itself and countries have the right to support Ukraine’s existence, Ukraine has a right to defend its sovereignty when it is violated by another actor. Ukrainians have a choice to engage in the war itself or flee. Effectively your viewpoint is where you blame the the west for sacrificing Ukrainians because Russia attacked. Just no…
Ah yes, because annexation is a reasonable response to a neighbouring nation in crisis when a coup occurs. And we the west clearly didn’t want to cooperate with the Minsk and Minsk 2 negotiations at all. Russia has definitely not been invited in the talks as well…
I finish this with something to effectively staple a point here.
https://web.archive.org/web/20220226051154/https://ria.ru/20220226/rossiya-1775162336.html
Always great when a state owned media outlet are throwing around neo-nazi rhetoric with their victory lap article they accidentally posted.
You literally deserve no respect now. It was fun and I have tried to be nice but… you weirdly support a fascist regime and you’re actually racist.
The response was funny as fuck though, so I have to give you that :)
A rather arbitrary separation on your part. Russian speaking Ukrainians have a lot in common with Russians, and this demographic is in no way a minority. Meanwhile, western backed regime literally outlawed the use of Russian in the country. I’m old enough to remember all the cries about cultural genocide in Xinjiang because Uyghurs had to learn Chinese and China hasn’t even banned Uyghur language. Shouldn’t we be applying the same standards in Ukraine?
Funny how you chose to ignore the fact that Crimea is populated by Russians. I guess that doesn’t fit the narrative you’re trying to create.
Once again you’re showing incredible amounts of dishonesty here. There’s really nothing else to say here.
If you disapprove of the actions of your government and aren’t able to hold it accountable you have no business screeching about Russia. It’s really that simple.
Meanwhile, the media coverage of what’s happening in Ukraine is on a completely different level from media coverage of exact same things being done by western powers. Pretending that Ukraine is somehow an outlier that everyone should focus on directly helps cover for ongoing western crimes.
BRUH, I’ve seen you here bloviating exclusively about Ukraine and nothing else. If you care about the horrors that your government engages in equally as much it’s rather weird that you only talk about Ukraine.
I literally provided context for what I said that you ignored to make your straw man.
The west is directly responsible for creating the situation that led to the war starting with overthrowing the government in Ukraine in 2014. Continuing the narrative that west did nothing wrong isn’t helping anything. The west cynically used Ukraine and then discarded it. That’s what actually happened.
No, my view point is that the west should find a way to negotiate with Russia instead of pushing us towards a world war. If you can’t understand that then there’s nothing else to say to you.
Once again you’re doing moralizing. The invasion happened, and no amount of grandstanding is going to change that. The question now is how to reduce human suffering and avoid a world war. Anybody who is not utterly insane understands this, but you evidently do not.
I’ve repeatedly denounced Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and stated that it’s utterly unjustified. I love how you ignore that and keep claiming that I support the invasion. You’re an intellectually dishonest individual.
And yet, it’s part of Ukraine! With a referendum observed by Russia and not Ukraine… interesting.
Once again, you do not know me outside of this platform or the actions I do elsewhere. You can’t assert shit here.
This line of logic is a stretch and suggesting I am continuing a narrative that the west did nothing wrong is also wrong. Good try though!
However, you are assuming that this isn’t happening? What mystical source can you conjure that implies the west has done absolutely nothing to de-escalate? This baseless shit feeds into propaganda.
Grandstanding isn’t the objective here, you rationalise propaganda, you link propaganda and if you didn’t respond to messages I would have suspected that you were a propaganda bot.
It’s so weird that you actively rationalise the actions of a fascist regime and even dismiss concerns people have had over the actions this regime has done. You get called out because your arguments and sources aren’t lining up here and you have posted prop in this community. To really exemplify this: You have literally linked a conspiracy theory article!
Congrats, you have denounced an invasion! Not necessarily the point I am making but more the weird objectives you have of the west instead of Russia. It reads like propaganda because you are spouting propaganda.
Says the person who has literally linked a conspiracy theory articles and tried to pass it off as legitimate source of information.
Ah yes, the classic “Well you haven’t fixed your government, you can’t comment on other governments” angle. Before ‘screeching’ as you have said about the west or anything else, fix things with your own government then :)
Seriously that’s gatekeeping shit here.
Once again! Your responses give me a great chuckle :)
Spamming ofRepeat ofyour previous comment :https://lemmy.ml/post/184804/comment/126044
Edit : Now i can cut and paste when i answer questions …i will try to avoid it to improve user’s experience
If I have to address the same argument repeatedly then why wouldn’t I use the comment I’ve already written? Not sure why you think that’s some kind of a gotcha.
Because of this context, i believe you are right, it’s not complete spam.
But then, would you care putting huge comments in collapsing spoilers ?
I suppose