A war would be disastrous for both countries. Especially the US.
As President Donald Trump relentlessly threatens to annex Canada, some Canadians are worried that an American invasion could one day become a reality.
How would that scenario play out? Looking at the sheer size of the American military, many people might believe that Trump would enjoy an easy victory.
That analysis is wrong. If Trump ever decides to use military force to annex Canada, the result would not be determined by a conventional military confrontation between the Canadian and American armies. Rather, a military invasion of Canada would trigger a decades-long violent resistance, which would ultimately destroy the United States.
But in this nightmare scenario, could Canadians successfully resist an American invasion? Absolutely. I know this because I have studied insurgencies around the world for more than two decades, and I have spent time with ordinary people who have fought against powerful invading armies.
Which part is the fantasy? A US invasion, Canadians fighting back, or me eliminating 10 Americans? I see two as medium probability, and one as high probability.
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It seems like you didn’t read the article. On top of that, as an experienced veteran, third in my sniper course, with a background working with and training insurgents (which should tell you what kind of veteran I am), and time in intelligence, I am certain that 10 soldiers is well within my capacity. And I come from a family that includes five ex-military, two ex-intelligence, three connected to undercover work, and other creative fields. There are also several people in my family experienced on cybersecurity red teams, and there are even two with banking systems experience. One of my cousins has been consulting on counter drone warfare, and several of us work with electeonic counter-measures techniques. My family alone could do serious damage.
We certainly wouldn’t be stupid enough to engage in frontal combat with american troops. We’re talking insurgent and resistance warfare. Extremely brutal variations. In the extreme, since we can pass for the current ideal american, we would likely engage in infiltration and sabotage activities.
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Here’s the thing. How well did America do in its first guerilla war, Vietnam? How well did it do in its last guerilla war, Afghanistan? How well do you think it would do if those guerilla soldiers looked pretty much like them, talked pretty much like them, and had a similar culture? Why are you banking on better? Was it the longer supply lines that lost the two wars I mentioned? Was it the lack of troops on the ground? Because those are the only two advantages America would have in a war with Canada as opposed to the other two I mentioned.
There is no way Canada’s military can stand against America’s, you’re absolutely right. If America decides to, they will invade Canada. That by no means guarantees a peaceful or successful occupation. And Canada’s military leaders aren’t idiots. I doubt they’d even meet America’s military in the field. But I bet you’d see a whole bunch of freedom fighters who used to have uniforms in their closets.
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Glad I could make you smile. Sounds like derision is your default mode. That must make you hard to hang out with for extended periods.
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Canada has a great sniper course. We’re really pleased with our grads.
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