THE Liberal Party has surpassed the 30-point threshold for the first time since September 2022 and now sits at 32 per cent, according to EKOS Politics. Indeed, the party is now tied with its vote share in the 2021 election.

Meanwhile, at 39 per cent, the Conservative lead has narrowed to just seven points, a significant shift from the 25-point advantage the party enjoyed in the wake of former finance minister Chrystia Freeland’s resignation a month ago. While the Conservatives would no doubt win the most seats if an election were held tomorrow, it is unlikely they would form a majority government given the renewed Liberal support in Ontario.

According to EKOS Politics, the Liberal resurgence seems to be driven by three factors. First, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s resignation produced a modest but noticeable boost to the party’s standing. Second, the extensive media coverage of the Liberal leadership race accelerated this rise. Finally, the cavalcade of radical announcements from the freshly inaugurated Donald Trump has spurred a renewed sense of national identity, prompting Canadians to rally around their incumbent leaders in a show of solidarity.

    • ahal
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      10 hours ago

      If the conservatives winning is a foregone conclusion, I’d rather have them in power now where they can mount a credible response to trump than in the summer.

      But if these polls are to be believed, maybe it’s not so foregone after all. Three more months of trump opening his mouth might actually be enough to sour people on Pierre

      • Kichae
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        10 hours ago

        You think the Conservatives have any interest in mounting a credible response to Trump? Milhouse is way more Danielle Smith than he is Doug Ford. He’s just itching lick Trump’s boots.

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          5 hours ago

          I don’t know, maybe, maybe not. But in my hypothetical, at least trump would be dealing with someone who has a mandate, rather than someone who has one foot out the door. It’s a terrible bargaining position to be in.

          But like I said, that’s moot if the winds are shifting. I put a gigantic IF in front of my statement for a reason.