stravanasu

  • 75 Posts
  • 343 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 5th, 2023

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  • Please keep in mind that p-values (and null-hypothesis testing) suffer from officially recognized intrinsic flaws:

    https://doi.org/10.1080/00031305.2016.1154108 https://doi.org/10.1080/00031305.2019.1583913

    That is, they have intrinsic problems even when used “correctly” (for examples see e.g. https://doi.org/10.3758/BF03194105). On top of this, they are often misinterpreted and used incorrectly.

    A p-value is the probability of observing your particular sample data or other imagined data, assuming your null-hypothesis is true, and assuming additional hypotheses (such as underlying gaussian distributions or the like), which may or may not hold:

    p-value = Pr(observed data or imagined data | null hypothesis and additional assumptions)

    Because of the presence of imagined data, a p-value is not the likelihood of the null hypothesis (+assumptions), which is Pr(observed data | null hypothesis and additional assumptions)

    My personal recommendation is that you do your analysis by using more modern methods that do not have intrinsic flaws. Many good books are out there (just one example https://doi.org/10.1201/9780429029608). Of course any method may be misused, but at least using a self-consistent method we have worry only about one problem (misuse) rather than two (misuse & intrinsic flaws).

    An example of the quirky, unscientific characteristics of p-values. Imagine you design an experiment this way: “I’ll test 10 subjects, and in the meantime I apply for a grant. At the time the 10th subject is tested, I’ll know my application’s outcome. If the outcome is positive, I’ll test 10 more subjects; if it isn’t, I’ll stop”. Not an unrealistic situation.

    With this stopping rule, your p-value will depend on the probability that you get the grant. This is not a joke.

    This is a quote from H. Jeffreys, “Theory of Probability” § VII.7.2 (emphasis in the original) https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198503682.001.0001:

    What the use of P implies, therefore, is that a hypothesis that may be true may be rejected because it has not predicted observable results that have not occurred. This seems a remarkable procedure. On the face of it the fact that such results have not occurred might more reasonably be taken as evidence for the law, not against it.”







  • these autonomous agents represent the next step in the evolution of large language models (LLMs), seamlessly integrating into business processes to handle functions such as responding to customer inquiries, identifying sales leads, and managing inventory.

    I really want to see what happens. It seems to me these “agents” are still useless in handling tasks like customer inquiries. Hopefully customers will get tired and switch to companies that employ competent humans instead…










  • This is a fascinating phenomenon – but fully within current theory. And there’s no “inversion of the arrow of time”, despite what the sensationalistic, misleading title seems to imply. From the recent paper (my emphasis):

    Our results, over a range of pulse durations and optical depths, are consistent with the recent theoretical prediction that the mean atomic excitation time caused by a transmitted photon (as measured via the time integral of the observed phase shift) equals the group delay experienced by the light.

    The theoretical explanation is given in this paper:

    We examine this problem using the weak-value formalism and show that the time a transmitted photon spends as an atomic excitation is equal to the group delay, which can take on positive or negative values.

    It is essentially related to the difference between phase and group velocity of waves.

    One more example of how nature – as we currently understand it – offers amazing, fascinating, unexpected phenomena. It doesn’t need misleading sensationalism.







  • It’s utter bullshit from the very start. First, it isn’t true that the Ricci curvature can be written as they do in eqn (1). Second, in eqn (2) the Einstein tensor (middle term) cannot be replaced by the Ricci tensor (right-hand term), unless the Ricci scalar (“R”) is zero, which only happens when there’s no energy. They nonchalantly do that replacement without even a hint of explanation.

    Elsevier and ScienceDirect should feel ashamed. They can go f**k themselves.