CBC poll aggregator puts the probabilities of next year’s federal election outcomes at Conservative majority–94%, Conservative minority–4%, Liberal government–1%.

I didn’t realize things were this bleak.

I feel some deja vu watching Trudeau refuse to step aside (early enough), just like with Biden.

A friend of mine thinks no one really wants to replace Trudeau as Liberal leader, for what’s most likely to be a decisive loss.

I posted an article with a headline about Trudeau’s GST holiday and $200 checks signalling that he’s out of ideas or that it ‘smacks of desperation’. Lemmy.ca didn’t seem to like it much. But I look at the gesture like, “that’s the best you can do for a fighting chance at forming a government?”

I don’t like their disinclination to truly represent the working classes, and the general loss of that representation in politics more widely at the moment (eg, shift towards conservativism and authoritinarianism).

Are we just defeatedly marching towards 4 years of a PP government? Realistically, can/will anything be done, even for a greater chance at a Conservative minority, never mind an ABC government?

  • morbidcactus
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    8 days ago

    Writ’s not been dropped, only poll that matters is the one on election day, this shit happens every single cycle, polls tend to change a lot once there’s actual campaigning. Don’t preemptively give up and accept a Tory government as an inevitability.

    The Tories are out door knocking and seemingly on the edge of campaigning now (seen Tory lawn signs for remembrance day) why aren’t the NDP or grits? We seemingly let the right control messaging all the bloody time and just constantly play catchup.

    • Auli
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      7 days ago

      I mean no way the liberals get in again. It’s Canadian tradition we vote governments out not in, and seems to happen around the 10 year mark.