Jon Stewart examines the choice undecided voters are facing in the 2024 election: Kamala Harris, who has an impressive résumé and specific policy plans, versus Donald Trump, whose vision, consistency on issues, anti-labor ethos, and militaristic posturing are at odds with the caricature his followers have created for him.

  • CileTheSane
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    14
    ·
    3 months ago

    “Sure, you all call Heaven’s Gate a cult, but everyone in Heaven’s Gate says they’re not a cult. How am I, an outside observer, supposed to know who is right? Clearly everyone but me must be morons.”

    • where_am_i@sh.itjust.works
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      1
      arrow-down
      12
      ·
      3 months ago

      “Everyone says those 100 people are a cult” is different from “Half of the population of a country call the other half a cult and vise-versa”.

      You might feel like it’s “everyone”, because you never hear anything the other side has to say. But I’m reminding you, from a statistical perspective, the weight is really about 50/50. A 60/40 split in your favor is currently outside of a 3-sigma confidence interval.

      • CileTheSane
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        12
        arrow-down
        1
        ·
        3 months ago

        from a statistical perspective, the weight is really about 50/50

        It’s really not. Republicans have less support from less than 40% of the population, MAGAts are less than 20%. The Electoral College, Gerrymandering, and voter disenfranchisement are the only reason the election is around 50/50.

        If the US election was done by a straight popular vote there would have only been a single Republican president since 1990, and it would have been 20 years ago.

          • CileTheSane
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            2
            ·
            3 months ago

            That’s talking about the Electoral College and chances of winning the election. I was talking about the popular vote, and specifically mentioned that without the Electoral College Republicans wouldn’t have a chance.

            • where_am_i@sh.itjust.works
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              1
              ·
              3 months ago

              Please, point out to me, in the methodology of the poll, which is provided at the bottom of the page, where is it stated that 46/49 numbers are some arbitrary chances of winning the election?

              My reading is that they’re averages of other polls that are polling popular vote, e.g. simply asking “which candidate would you vote for if the elections were tomorrow?”.

              But, please, I’m happy to be proven wrong.

              • CileTheSane
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                1
                ·
                3 months ago

                My reading is that they’re averages of other polls that are polling popular vote, e.g. simply asking “which candidate would you vote for if the elections were tomorrow?”.

                Please, point out to me where it says they have polled the popular vote. I don’t see anywhere that states the question being asked, but I do see the headline: Explore Electoral College scenarios

      • aesthelete@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        4
        ·
        edit-2
        3 months ago

        You might feel like it’s “everyone”, because you never hear anything the other side has to say.

        Au contraire mon frere. I would posit that nobody that gives even a single iota of a shit about politics in this country hasn’t been exposed to what “the other side has to say”. I’d also venture to guess that the number of people who don’t give a single iota of shit about politics in this country that have also heard what “the other side has to say” is far above zero. There have even been studies (since you occasionally pretend to give a fuck about objectivity) confirming that Republicans who watch Fox News know less about Democrats than Democrats know about Republicans.

        It’s kind of difficult to not “hear what the other side has to say” when half of your news media spends its time interviewing people on both sides of divisive issues such as “the vaccine question” or “is the earth round”, and the other half of your news media openly roots for and argues for Republican candidates.

        • where_am_i@sh.itjust.works
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          arrow-down
          4
          ·
          3 months ago

          Dunno, gimme a name of your reputable news sources. I’ma take a look.

          Cuz the video in question is as biased as fox news. Just into the opposite direction.

          It’s hard for me, personally, to watch it, even though I do believe it’s insane to vote for Trump. And yet the video is just repeatable cringe. It ads nothing to the political debate, and given that this particular show does pretty much the same material every week I’m not sure how isn’t everyone yet bored of watching it?

          • aesthelete@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            3
            ·
            edit-2
            3 months ago

            Cuz the video in question is as biased as fox news. Just into the opposite direction.

            The video in this post is from a comedy show on comedy network.

            It ads nothing to the political debate

            As you continually do here with your “this adds nothing” and “this wastes electricity” posts.

            If you don’t like the video or the show, here’s an idea: don’t watch it. You don’t live here so it isn’t even really for you, and you don’t seem to enjoy it much from your pissy moany comments.

            Some of us have to live in this country where people make the absurd arguments refuted in the video about Trump, and some of us like to kick back with our feet up and blow off steam with a little mild humor about the absurdity of the political situation in this country.

            • where_am_i@sh.itjust.works
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              1
              arrow-down
              3
              ·
              3 months ago

              You do nothing else but kick back and watch some political comedy. And it doesn’t look like fun anymore. At this point lemmy is an emotional support club.

              Other than that, I feel you. After I’ve learned that trump got 48% or so of the popular vote (which also somehow won him the election), I’ve forever dropped my plans to move to your beautiful country. Even if career-wise it’s a no-brainer. Tbh, even 40% of the popular vote to that political figure would’ve been too much for my liking.

              • aesthelete@lemmy.world
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                2
                ·
                3 months ago

                it doesn’t look like fun anymore.

                It hasn’t really been fun to live in this country in nearly a decade, and that’s me speaking as someone sitting on the top of the privilege pile.

                The country is basically 6 corporations dressed in a trench coat.

                • where_am_i@sh.itjust.works
                  link
                  fedilink
                  arrow-up
                  1
                  arrow-down
                  2
                  ·
                  3 months ago

                  You need to either find a way to start changing things, or move to a different country, or accept that there’s nothing you can do, vote dem every 4 years while staying away from political content.

                  You can’t just be angry every day in a group of people 100% sharing your views. This gets you and the country nowhere.

                  • aesthelete@lemmy.world
                    link
                    fedilink
                    arrow-up
                    3
                    ·
                    3 months ago

                    It’s not just exposure to political content that makes it not fun to live in America. It’s the never ending mountain of shit you deal with on a daily basis simply because you’re an American.