So it’s official: Washington is pulling the plug on military aid to Ukraine. At Congressional hearings this week US secretary of defence Pete Hegseth confirmed the Trump administration has a “very different view” of the war in Ukraine to that of Joe Biden’s – and insisted that a “negotiated peaceful settlement is in the best interest of both parties and our nation’s interests.”
It’s important to understand that the US is not omnipotent. Russia has defeated NATO in Ukraine, and the US can do nothing to change that. The US also sees China as their primary adversary, and they’re not stuck supporting Israel against Iran. They simply do not have the resources to contest Russia now.
Yeah but even if USA fucks off Ukraine right now, it will still remains a hot zone ready to be exploited by further US meddling, as one of many such zones in the world. And it will be a tool for internal US politics too.
I think it’s going to be a bit more complex than that because most people in Ukraine are tired of the war, and they’re starting to realize they were used by the west. I don’t expect there’s going to be much appetite for some sort of an insurgency movement after the war is over. Meanwhile, the resentment towards the west will very probably result in blow back in Europe. The US will likely keep meddling, but I do think their influence will collapse in the whole region.