American military and intelligence officials have concluded that the war in Ukraine is no longer a stalemate as Russia makes steady gains, and the sense of pessimism in Kyiv and Washington is deepening.

So what’s next? A Vietnam and Afghanistan style rapid collapse of the US-supported government? Something entirely different?

1975 Fall of Saigon

2021 Fall of Kabul

202X Fall of Kyiv…?

It must be quite the shocking turn of events for those who were convinced Ukraine was going to win.