| Party Name | Seats (Current) | Seats Change | Percentage (Current) | Percentage Change | Majority Probability | Minority Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 186 | +26 | 42.8% | +10.2% | 72.5% | 18.8% |
| Conservative | 129 | +10 | 40.1% | +6.4% | 1.6% | 7.2% |
| Bloc | 15 | -17 | 5.4% | -2.2% | 0% | 0% |
| New Democrat | 11 | -14 | 8.6% | -9.2% | N/A | N/A |
A bit of a spike in the NDP’s numbers. Not enough to threaten a loss for the LPC yet.
It’s also within the margin of error, so we’ll have to wait and see if this is a trend, or just a blip due to the quirks of polling.