• 1 Post
  • 137 Comments
Joined 2 years ago
cake
Cake day: June 27th, 2023

help-circle





  • tlebtoCanadaMainstreet polling, April 2
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    2
    ·
    26 days ago

    Something I’ve wondered is how the poll aggregators apply the vote % to regional breakdowns / seat estimates. Are they using the voting patterns from previous elections, or is there polling data broken down by seat?

    So if voting patterns changed significantly without overall vote % changing much, the results could still be very very different, correct?




  • tlebtoCanadaMainstreet polling, updated Mar 24
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    9
    ·
    1 month ago

    It’s ABC, but it’s also the result of Singh. NDP was neck and neck with Liberals when the Liberals were polling poorly, which could’ve been the NDP’s chance. If Singh still doesn’t get replaced after this election, I don’t think the NDP is going to fare well.












  • Disagree on your assessment of why PR failed, but I agree with it being the bottom of my priorities right now. Back in 2013 I voted Liberal for the first time (normally an NDP voter) purely for electoral reform - it’s incredibly important for the long term health of our democracy. However, we’re in an economic crisis, and I really think we need to survive the next few years before we can worry about long term health, and I think Carney is the right guy for that. I will be happy to see him replaced with someone more progressive down the road.