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Cake day: August 17th, 2024

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  • Yeah, it’s really strange that Sonny’s citizenship application is still pending after two decades.

    Reasons are mentioned in the article:

    I ask Sonny why he thinks his own application for citizenship has taken over two decades.
    “It’s racism,” he replies immediately.
    At one point his file was lost completely, and he has now been told his case is “pending”.

    Insaf’s case is similar.

    “I arrived here at nine months old, and maybe at 33 or 34 - if all goes well - I can finally be an Italian citizen,” she says, exasperated.
    Her parents finally got Italian citizenship 20 days after Insaf turned 18. That meant she had to apply for herself from scratch, including proving a steady income.

    You’re correct of course in that a big part of the problem is that it seems only adults can start the process, as per https://immigration-italy.com/how-to-get-citizenship-in-italy/ there aren’t separate provisions for minors to naturalize, the usual naturalization pathway requires things that normally only adults or emancipated minors would be able to provide, and minors whose parents naturalize are automatically naturalized too.



  • He already could dox them if he wanted to, all that information is already accessible to him.

    Interesting question actually… for sure the SEVIS records already have what the President wants to expose, but would he personally be able to see these records? I think we know, for example, that when Biden was President, he wasn’t able to view or release his predecessor’s tax return even though the IRS has it.

    I don’t know how those IRS protections compare with the SEVIS ones (and would find it plausible if it turns out the IRS is the one with the stronger ones), but I’d certainly be interested in learning more about it either way.

    He needs to make it seem like someone’s fighting him on it when nobody really is.

    Agreed, this makes sense and is the most likely answer. The other aspect though is even if he could get the records from SEVIS, doxxing from that (likely in violation of laws and pre-existing regulations) would be a serious thing. Now, openly doxxing from Harvard’s own report would likely also create legal issues - but from a practical standpoint there might be fewer controls on drumpf and his underlings in releasing this info if it was successfully obtained in this way. On the other hand I feel like this is giving drumpf too much credit, he’s made far dumber gaffes before.

    One final thing. Of course, there’s slightly more plausible deniability here (“oh no some jilted employee at Harvard must have posted the copy of the report after Harvard was forced to write it and send it to us, we didn’t do it”). All the more reason for Harvard to resist any such demands to the very ends of the Earth…




  • The party I’m calling centrist is viewed as centre-left here by the media and general public.
    Greens and Labor split each other’s votes, not Labor and LNP.

    Sounds reasonable enough, actually.

    (Why about 20% of left-wing voters prefer the right-wing over the centre I will never understand.)

    Hmm, puzzling. If they were USians then I’d suggest that it was because they confused over the name (liberals are always on the left, right?) but I digress.

    Ah, but it was never that.

    Isn’t it though? As you wrote,

    The precipitous drop in support for the LNP mostly went to help Labor

    Just as it’d be confusing why left-wing voters would support a right-wing party over a centrist or centre-left party, it’d be equally confusing why right-wing voters would support a left-wing party (the Greens) over the centrist one. Well, sounds like they didn’t.

    (With IRV of course it’s not that this happened because of a split vote but that because Labor had more support in the first preference that it survived over the Greens, when normally it’d be the other way around - so the specific reasons are different and a bit more complex, but this specific result which occurred is intuitive to someone who only understands FPTP. More generally, both FPTP and IRV suffer from spoiler effects (as explained in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spoiler/_effect ) - while IRV is better than FPTP there are still cases where spoiler effects can happen and this example of a Green losing to a Labor due to a loss of support by the LNP is one of them - it just feels more intuitive to someone familiar with FPTP because this is the worst when it comes to spoiler effects).


  • we here in Australia had another parallel to your election.

    I didn’t realize this, but this is really interesting. Thank you for the hattip!

    In essence, a drop in support for the right-wing candidates resulted in a centrist candidate winning where previously a left-wing candidate had won. That’s an aberrant result that doesn’t really match anyone’s intuition of how elections should work.

    Unless, like me, you grew up in a FPTP system - then this is exactly what you’d expect. (As you already know in FPTP the votes would be split, so with the centrist and the right-wing splitting the vote, the left-wing would win. But if the right-wing drops out, then the votes would mostly go to the centrist instead, likely putting the centrist ahead now.)

    I didn’t realise it was in response to a specific article, but I gathered it was a response to general comments from some in the LNP praising FPTP.

    Accurate enough - the article that it was responding - well, it was basically what you wrote above.

    I was responding primarily to the headline suggesting we should be “proud” of what is literally the worst acceptable voting system.

    I took this with a fair bit of humor. I would have said that it’s not the worst voting system because FPTP is worse, but then,

    (Personally, I consider FPTP completely unacceptable and anti-democratic; it should not even be part of any discussion among serious people.)

    So actually, you are right. Agree 100% here.

    a proportional system would be better.

    And here too.





  • I must say that it’s the rare case that I see an upvoted comment on the fediverse that, behind a veil of ignorance ( https://ethicsunwrapped.utexas.edu/glossary/veil-of-ignorance ), agrees with Israel-supporting Jewish biologist and professor Jerry A. Coyne on anything. ( As per https://whyevolutionistrue.com/2023/10/15/a-few-thoughts-on-the-war/ he also no longer finds a two-state solution viable. )

    With that in mind I’m deeply troubled by one of the comments made in the comments section of the linked article.

    Tuvi Todd
    A “2-State Solution” would be a step backwards, where now there are already 3 states:
    - a peace-loving Jewish State of Israel,
    - a terror sponsoring PA “state” in the “West Bank”, and
    - a war criminal PA “state” in Gaza/

    But this is completely wrong and bonkers. The middle comment is the most off, the West Bank is under Israeli military control and the nominal authority, the Palestine Authority, doesn’t exercise any actual control over the territory (as it should be).

    The third comment is also off, as neither Gaza or Hamas are independently recognized by any country as a state, and unlike the Palestine Authority lack status or any sort of recognition in the UN. (Also Hamas explicitly rejects the authority of the PA from what I understand, so calling it a PA state is also too much of a stretch.)

    Only the first comment is accurate in terms of statehood - but I can’t really agree with the peace-loving comment.

    And, the last two should receive no international assistance, unless they end their support for
    “The Palestinian Resistance” of murder, terrorism, and war crimes.

    But the PA did - https://www.jfeed.com/news-israel/spzypn

    {A} - The Jewish State of Israel targets only Islamic Jihadist militants in northern Gaza attacks, who
    -2- Use schools, hospitals, cities, and civilians as human-shield, and thus {B} - Only Gaza’s Islamic Jihadist militants are responsible for all the subsequent -2- Killings of over 50,000 Palestinians in Gaza attacks

    I feel that this ignores a lot - in particular the recent news report of a hospital being mistakenly misidentified as hosting a hidden underground military base - because it got confused with a school that was next to the hospital that had some odd markings, https://news.sky.com/story/gaza-hospital-attack-analysis-contradicts-israels-evidence-justifying-airstrike-13367823

    Or the concerns from Holocaust survivors such as Veronika Cohen about how the war is hurting innocent Gazan children, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/apr/25/we-have-lost-our-humanity-holocaust-survivors-call-for-end-to-war-in-gaza