• Placebonickname@lemmy.world
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    2 days ago

    My complete disdain for statistics not withstanding. What difference does it make how unpopular this motherfucker is if him and his stupid MAGA cronies are gonna stay in office anyway

    • Kirp123@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      None at all. He’s already in office, he’s can’t run for reelection (at least as it stands right now). How popular he is doesn’t mean shit.

      Also the way they write these headlines you would think nobody supports him but actually 40% of those asked support him. The poll was taken this week.

      • abdominable@lemm.ee
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        2 days ago

        There is a certain point where Republicans in Congress have to distance themselves from the president to get re elected, it’s right around 33%. That’s when shit will start to matter

        • GuyFawkes@midwest.social
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          2 days ago

          As with all things Trump, I’ll believe it. Also as with all things Trump, since it involves actual consequences we won’t see it.

        • Cousin Mose@lemmy.hogru.ch
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          2 days ago

          I always imagine it’ll be that droning, meandering almost “crusty” and greasy Big Mac voice just droning and eventually fading out.

    • BassTurd@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      I’ve messaged all of the cunts in my state and everyone of them truly believes they’re keeping Trump in check and doing good stuff. They’re also aware of how I truly feel about them, so I’m definitely on a list. Grassley, Miller-Meeks, Ernst, Hinson, and Reynolds are all amongst the shittiest of the shitty in US politics. I wish nothing but the worst for all of them for what they’ve contributed to the state of Iowa. They took a respectable state and speed ran it to the bottom. Fuck them.

      • Placebonickname@lemmy.world
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        2 days ago

        Yeah, Iowa and Kansas are kind of in similar boats. We’ve got big cities and college towns that are very modern and progressive surrounded by an ocean of Republican voters that keep flipping our state red because of the distracting.

        If it makes you feel better, I sent a personal letter to Jerry Moran and told him that he was the most worthless motherfucker in the history of American politics, and all he did was send me an autographed photo of himself

        Hopefully Chuck Grassley will die before the next election, but who knows I think they’ve been saying that since the 80s 

        • BassTurd@lemmy.world
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          2 days ago

          I told Chuck he’s a Nazi shit head, and at least Reynolds that she’s a cunt.

          If Chuck dies, and even if he doesn’t, his son who’s currently in the state house I think, will run and win. It’s already lined up, and Iowans in particular are idiots. The brain drain is real. Mark it, Pat Grassley will be the next senator in that seat.

          • P00ptart@lemmy.world
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            2 days ago

            I will always take pride in banging chucks granddaughter a few times in college. She was a freak.

  • pelespirit@sh.itjust.works
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    2 days ago

    A Quinnipiac University poll conducted June 5-9, for example, found that only 38 percent of Americans approve of the job Trump has done as president, while 54 percent disapprove — a -16-point job performance rating.

    An Economist/YouGov poll published this week also showed souring numbers for Trump, with only 40 percent of respondents giving him positive numbers and 54 percent saying they disapproved of him — a -14-point rating, his lowest yet for that poll since the president was inaugurated.

    Two other polls were also the worst yet in Trump’s second term. A Gallup poll from earlier this month found Trump with a -17-point job performance rating, while a Bullfinch Group poll found him with a -13-point rating.

    At RealClearPolitics, which averages an aggregate of polling data from various sources, Trump’s numbers are not the worst they’ve ever been. But as of Thursday, his average poll rating is at a net -4.1 points, whereas just a month ago it was -2.3 points. At the beginning of February, Trump had a +3.5 point job performance rating recorded on the website, indicating that, since the start of his second term to this week, the average poll has shifted negatively for Trump by 7.6 points.

  • ravenaspiring@sh.itjust.works
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    2 days ago

    While the message is not entirely off, it’s worth realizing that polling approval numbers are all over the place. While Nate Silver might not peg it, be does at leas provide more polls which shows this:

    As he says:

    Now these differences aren’t too surprising. It’s normal for individual polls to disagree because of sampling error. But variation in how polls are conducted (whether they interview adults or registered voters, the variables they weight on, etc.) can make those differences even larger. For example, Trafalgar, InsiderAdvantage, and RMG all have Republican house effects while Ipsos tends to have a strong Democratic house effect. …

    Inevitably, there’s a lot of disagreement from survey to survey, not just because of statistical variation but because pollsters have long had trouble pegging down Trump’s popularity — and often underestimated it.

    Which is to say, polling is still more of an art.

    This is not to dampen the delight too much, but reality is much more complicated than a poll.