willya@lemmyf.uk to

politics @lemmy.worldEnglish · 4 months ago

Historian who accurately predicted 9 of last 10 presidential elections makes his 2024 pick

www.usatoday.com

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Historian who accurately predicted 9 of last 10 presidential elections makes his 2024 pick

www.usatoday.com

willya@lemmyf.uk to

politics @lemmy.worldEnglish · 4 months ago

Historian Allan Lichtman has announced his prediction on whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election.

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4 months ago
Coincidentally the odds are that almost exactly one will guess 9 out of 10 correctly, and about four people will guess 8 out of 10 correctly. Odds drop to about 1 in 1000 for guessing all 10 correctly.

politics @lemmy.world

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