At least with the lottery, my $2 buys a day or two of some fantastic daydreams. Can an anti vaxxer excitedly say “I WOULD GIVE EACH OF YOU A MILLION DOLLARS AND MAKE MY TOWN LIBRARY THE GREATEST IN THE STATE!!”
There are also lotteries that spend most of the money on charity. Worst case you do something good with most of the money you put in. Nothing wrong with that
I’m not arguing whether anything is wrong with it or not. You could literally be shredding bank notes as a hobby. If it makes you happy, I’m not arguing against.
I’m rather saying someone who’s confident in statistics doesn’t need arguing here. They’ll intrinsically know the chance of winning is effectively 0. As such, they assume that their money will go to charity. But since the lottery company keeps a cut as profit, giving it this way is just worse than giving to charity directly.
If those antivaxxers felt confident about statistics, they’d be very upset.
I mean, the lottery and gambling just wouldn’t exist, if people generally took statistics to heart.
At least with the lottery, my $2 buys a day or two of some fantastic daydreams. Can an anti vaxxer excitedly say “I WOULD GIVE EACH OF YOU A MILLION DOLLARS AND MAKE MY TOWN LIBRARY THE GREATEST IN THE STATE!!”
There are also lotteries that spend most of the money on charity. Worst case you do something good with most of the money you put in. Nothing wrong with that
I’m not arguing whether anything is wrong with it or not. You could literally be shredding bank notes as a hobby. If it makes you happy, I’m not arguing against.
I’m rather saying someone who’s confident in statistics doesn’t need arguing here. They’ll intrinsically know the chance of winning is effectively 0. As such, they assume that their money will go to charity. But since the lottery company keeps a cut as profit, giving it this way is just worse than giving to charity directly.
The reward is less exciting, but there is also a more realistic chance of you actually getting lucky by not getting measles.
And if you assume yourself to get lucky, then even just getting poked with a needle, will in your mind add a risk rather than mitigate it…