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Communist-run Laos has come to the fore after it opened a high-speed rail line with China in 2021 that cost the landlocked country about $6 billion. While the development is seen by many as the start of a ramp up in infrastructure that directly connects China with Southeast Asia, it has raised concerns of a build-up in debt for Laos and other smaller countries.
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China is by far Laos’ biggest creditor, accounting for about half of the $10.5 billion in external government debt. The tiny nation had $13.8 billion in total public and publicly-guaranteed debt at the end of last year, amounting to 108% of its gross domestic product.
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Laos’ external debt payments in 2023 reached $950 million, almost double the amount compared to 2022, making the country defer $670 million in principal and interest payments. The World Bank has said in the past that such moves have provided temporary relief in recent years.
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Laos’ development is seen by many as a further chapter of China’s ‘debt-trap diplomacy’ as Beijing offers developing countries financial loans under often opaque condition, leaving them grappling with repayments while it supports China’s efforts to expand its economic and political influence in foreign countries.
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For example, Sri Lanka fell into default for the first time in its history back in 2022 after its foreign reserves dwindled. Last month the South Asian nation said it reached final restructuring agreements worth $10 billion, including with an Official Creditor Committee of bilateral lenders and China’s Exim Bank. Sri Lanka’s port, however, is now owned by China.
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China dismissed the “debt-trap diplomacy” allegations.
You don’t need to invade someone if you just own them. This debt stuff, or even just straight up purchasing all of their assets.
This has been China’s expansion plan for a couple decades now. It’s why we keep seeing deals being blocked in western countries for things like natural resource extraction companies.