• 12 Posts
  • 87 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
cake
Cake day: June 14th, 2023

help-circle





















  • Yeah, sounds unlikely doesn’t it?

    But that’s what the forecast says. 4% of productivity lost over the long term of 15 years due to loss of comparative advantage

    https://obr.uk/forecasts-in-depth/the-economy-forecast/brexit-analysis

    But the forecast is for the cost, no benefit is included.

    The loss of comparative advantage is replaced, I’d argue, with competitive advantage which has a much stronger effect. The UK is no longer bound by the anti science regulations on genetic engineering and the new overly restrictive proposed regulations on AI

    GDP per capita is a ratio of GDP / population, so if you do more with fewer people, by using automation, robots and AI, your GDP per capita will grow…

    The 4% figure over 15 years is a difference of 0.29% to 0.27% productivity growth. Government policy has at least that 0.02% effect

    I predict a Starmer govt will be able to introduce policy that will offset the productivity loss just by investing in renewable energy, let alone any research universities’ innovations.



  • Economists said most of the reason for the divergence between the UK and the EU was down to the UK government’s energy price guarantee (EPG), which has capped the cost of gas and electricity bills to the equivalent of £2,500 a year for a typical household until July. In the eurozone there have not been similar caps fixing the price over a lengthy time period, meaning their inflation rates better reflect the recent global decline in wholesale gas and electricity prices.


  • Did you even read the article?

    Economists said most of the reason for the divergence between the UK and the EU was down to the UK government’s energy price guarantee (EPG), which has capped the cost of gas and electricity bills to the equivalent of £2,500 a year for a typical household until July. In the eurozone there have not been similar caps fixing the price over a lengthy time period, meaning their inflation rates better reflect the recent global decline in wholesale gas and electricity prices.