• 3 Posts
  • 343 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
cake
Cake day: July 6th, 2023

help-circle
  • Yes

    People here and on Reddit really think that polls are made with just a few calls and then some average/extrapolation and that’s it.

    Meanwhile it’s an entire field with a lot of complex math and people with more knowledge about it than everyone in this comment section combined.

    And then the classic “polls are shit, they always get it wrong”. By definition polls are correct because they just represent an objective data set. Then they translate it into a phrase that we humans can (somewhat) understand but people then take it wrongly.

    They read “Poll X says candidate Y will win” when instead they should read “According to the data obtained for Poll X, candidate Y has a Z% chance of winning with a confidence level of W%”. And that isn’t wrong unless someone wants to find the mistake in the math.









  • I’m not sure I agree

    For one Bloco’s majority of votes comes from exactly the opposite of what you say they are. I.e. lower class and less educated people.

    I don’t think they have the image of being “betinhos”, quite the opposite. Majority of Betos vote IL, Agrobetos somehow vote chega, and betos who lean left and actually care about social issues now vote Livre. Some of them also voted PAN but fortunately less and less.

    The view I have of Bloco is that they are more on the woke warrior side and a bit too much sometimes. The whole, I am more knowledgeable than you is very present in IL and in a way also in Rui Tavares.

    Catarina Martins is one of the more empathetic politicians we have in Portugal atm. The Mortagua sisters may have a well off background but they have proven their work countless times and many times outside of Bloco. Marisa Matias and José Gusmão are both almost 50 and no where close to your description of “elite”.

    But I guess your opinion is just as valid. For what it’s worth I actually joined them very recently but so far haven’t seen much of anything (apart from disorganization).












  • I played through the whole game with my gf and didn’t see nor read anything that would indicate that.

    Regardless of if you play, solo or with up to 4 people there are 4 characters in your party. Your main character can be one of the predefined ones or not. You will probably have/want a mix of both.

    First play through will take more than 100h and you will still have plenty to see for subsequent playtroughs. It’s literally impossible to see all of it first time regardless of how you play.

    Just get it, it’s not just a GOTY, it’s one of the best games in a long while.