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Rank Team Adj. Win % Weekly Rank Change
1 Philadelphia .780 --
2 Kansas City .743 +1
3 Baltimore .724 -1
4 Detroit .719 +1
5 Cleveland .694 +2
6 Pittsburgh .674 --
7 Jacksonville .674 -3
8 San Francisco .653 +2
9 Seattle .610 +2
10 Miami .582 -1
11 Dallas .574 +1
12 Cincinnati .571 -4
13 Minnesota .566 --
14 Houston .557 +1
15 Indianapolis .503 +3
16 LA Chargers .481 +1
17 Tampa Bay .464 +5
18 Buffalo .462 -4
19 NY Jets .452 -3
20 Denver .451 +5
21 Las Vegas .451 +3
22 New Orleans .440 -3
23 LA Rams .408 +3
24 Tennessee .403 -4
25 Atlanta .382 -4
26 Washington .379 -3
27 Green Bay .353 --
28 Chicago .294 +2
29 Arizona .270 +3
30 New England .267 -2
31 NY Giants .251 -2
32 Carolina .196 -1

I’m using a simplified/modified Colley Matrix iteration process (https://www.colleyrankings.com/method.html)

To summarize, you take the win percentage of every team and correct it against the win percentage of their opponents. Then you have a new win percentage. And I repeat that process until the correction factor is below .001. Essentially this is what I would expect the win percentages to be if the teams played an average team every week.