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- cross-posted to:
- [email protected]
The Israel-Gaza war is “taking away the focus” from the conflict in Ukraine, the country’s President Volodymyr Zelensky has admitted.
He said this was “one of the goals” of Russia, which launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.
And he denied that fighting in Ukraine had reached a stalemate, despite a recent assessment to this effect by the country’s top military general.
Ukraine’s counter-offensive in the south has so far made little headway.
This has prompted fears of war fatigue among Kyiv’s Western allies, with suggestions of growing reluctance in some capitals to continue giving Ukraine advanced weapons and funds.
The number of opportunities they have to actually pull it off are so few and far between just from demographics, geography, and meteorology alone, that you can count with two hands the exact number of days between now and when the window will basically close permanently when they could even hypothetically make an attempt at it without cursing their entire invasion force to the bottom of the sea before they even encounter a defensive line.
Not to mention the rumours that Taiwan has developed a non-nuclear MAD doctrine which would allow them to instantly turn 400,000,000 Chinese citizens into refugees by blowing the 3 gorges dam. A scenario that would require China to turn any deployed forces right around to institute martial law.
Their best bets are;
a) when Trump is convicted
b) when Trump wins
c) when Trump loses
All three of those provide a large enough window where the US will be too busy to stop them
While it’s not telling what the US will do afterwards the question is would they rather have a defensive or offensive position
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It’s the distraction of his followers trying a civil war if the negatives happen
Him being a puppet of Russia and Russia being a puppet of China means he will interfere with foreign policy. Even if the US declares war he can station the whole army on the Mexican border to try and keep them away from it. Remember he was trying to dissolve NATO
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He has meddled in foreign policy before, he will do it again
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Then you are lost
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