This seems similar to the Peel region breakup. Mississauga and Brampton are supposed to come out of it managing some services with each other jointly still, but handling others individually, and in all cases cutting Caledon out. With Vaughan out of York then I guess Markham and to a lesser extent Richmond Hill decide to also split out, or they continue carrying the smaller municipalities along.

I think in the short term the turmoil of figuring out how to run independent services will make a mess of things. In the medium and longer term the idea is that Mississauga city revenues don’t need to get spent on infrastructure out in Caledon that Mississauga residents do not benefit from, but I don’t know enough about city council and municipal works to say if this is actually a likely outcome or if it makes sense on a balance sheet.

For us in Peel (I’m in Mississauga) it might be a little easier to model things and sort through numbers since we only have the three municipalities. York is a bit more complex with 9 municipalities…