because this is not going to be a light read for a self-proclaimed intelligent centrist.
What a strange opener? I’ve never claimed this. I have a feeling this entire comment is going to be attacking positions I did not mention and views I do not hold.
“The left is getting killed on the trans sports issue” Do you have any data backing this? And what analysis goes with the data?
Yes, source - pew research 66% of adults are against trans people in sports. This and other anti trans sentiment are up from 2017. Now the analysis that goes with that is i’ve watched a ton of online debate (which influences the opinions of all who view it) from the largest politcal and non politcal content creators for the past decade and there is a clear weaponization of trans issues. The reason these issues are being weaponized is because the right know that they can “win” debates on these issues. The arugments they use are not at all convincing in my opinion but they seem to sway the average person.
you could have said that the majority of German did not think Jews should be married to Germans. So what? So much for the argument that we should sacrifice human rights of ANY group because they are unpopular.
No you do not understand. I’ll play on the example. If I had said that majority of Germans did not think Jews should marry Germans. I would be aruging that we need to convince majority of Germans that it is ok for Jews to marry germans by finding a argument that is strong.
By extension, what you suggest is morally corrupt and inhumane, and it is deeply fascist in its very conception.
What do you think im suggesting? I really do not think you at all understand what im suggesting. You’re a .ml user so maybe you think that trying to present a convincing argument in favor of trans rights is morally corrupt.
You people hand-wave a fucking lot when you suggest that trans rights are so unpopular that they have lost you elections, when there have been multiple arguments that Democrats barely touched on the topic, apart from being loosely against killing trans people in pogroms and LUKEWARM at that. So your argument amounts to little more than “Fascist discourse is more trendy so let’s do that instead”, which is not JUST the Ratchet effect: it is “being complicit to actual genocide”.
Who is “you people”? I did not suggest that trans rights were so unpopular that they caused democrats to lose the election. I suggested that they were an issue that the right used to attack the left with great success (I know it was successful because they managed to shift public opinion significantly in a 4 year period). Even you claim that Democrats barely touched the topic, why do you think that was?
So your argument amounts to little more than “Fascist discourse is more trendy so let’s do that instead”, which is not JUST the Ratchet effect: it is “being complicit to actual genocide”.
No this is not my argument. Its not even remotely close.
I’ve responded to enough of this comment. It makes no sense, it might be AI slop and the people who upvoted it should be ashamed.
AI slop and my ML instance-ship? Ok dude, whatever…
First things first, the 66% is not reliable when you clearly see that the data is segregated along party lines. Nevertheless, there is a rise in favor of restrictions among Democrats and Democrat-leaning respondents. I have explained in the above and I will reiterate here that this can be explained in the network structure and dynamics of MAGA propaganda.
Since you make clear that you do NOT argue for a concession but in pursuit of a convincing argument, I respond below. But you make clear that you are not support watering down trans rights, so that none of the devastating arguments I presented is relevant to your position. Let’s examine that then.
The “convincing argument” you are talking about is a lost cause, because you forget that the right does not listen to reason. If you follow the link I have linked at the word “sports” you will see that there are several arguments about it. It doesn’t matter at all. There are great arguments out there, for the whole range of transphobic fascist propaganda. The problem is that it does not reach critical mass. In comparison, transphobic propaganda is obscenely funded and organized, as the rest of the links suggest. Specifically those links:
See if you cared about putting forward a convincing argument, you would take links such as this, and this includes my own posts, and would push them to a wider and wider network of ambassadors and online/offline propagandists, to reach as many people as possible. Agitating in left-wing forums, bordering on concern-trolling, crying there is no convincing argument for trans women in women’s sports, does not cut it. It is defeatist and achieves exactly one thing: to out you as a person who is not individually persuaded by a single argument in favor of trans people. I will not make assumptions about your precious individuality as to why is that. For the majority of people it is just SELF-CENSORED cis-genderism.
The plethora of right wing propaganda agents and the substantial amount of center-left cisgenderist apologists gives a sufficient explanation as to why public discourse has regressed more and more to more primitive and dehumanizing stereotypes and truism, no matter how many great arguments trans advocates have put out there.
Additionally:
Because mainstream platforms amplified hate speech, failed to moderate harassment, shadow banned, echo-chambered, and eventually pushed out advocates and turned into nazi bars.
Because the ever-growing right wing propaganda network became more and more interconnected and overlapping, that successive cycles of outrage and backlash allowed them to prevail in mass culture, by pushing more and more reactionary points.
Because this all went down without a shred of a response from Democrats.
Even the data you present reveal the most important thing about them: their TIME RANGE. There is no other explanation than the insane reach of transphobic fascist propaganda. I don’t have the tools as an individual to break down how the content has regressed from “legitimate concerns” to raw, primal, animus against trans people. But this is what was done:
They went from “We are NOT saying trans people ARE perverts and predators, BUT that real predators MIGHT exploit self-identification to wear dresses and attack women in segregated spaces”, all the way to “trans people are groomers, rapists and pedophiles” in a span of a few short years.
The arguments were right there, like Zinnia Jones had debunked the bathroom thing as soon as 2015. Same goes for detransition rates and effectiveness of transition. The issue here is not the message but the network of information flow that is entirely controlled by the platforms and the racist and nazi funds that are backing them and manipulating them.
Relevant research also shows (in the propaganda firehose article I have linked in the text) that responding to organized propaganda is futile. The response to this is to GROW SUPPORT for trans people, which is consistent with years and years of insight that transphobes DON’T listen to reason. The rare EXCEPTION is this dude. What changed his mind? Listening. That is what changed his mind.
If you care about trans issues, you should see to the available information to reach as many people as possible, both in quantity as well as information flow patterns in the network.
Since you insist that you never said that the left must concede on trans sports and condone segregation on the basis of gender identity, I will take it that my previous argumentation does not apply to your take, and you subscribe that eroding the rights of any protected group is out of the question, as far as your suggested strategy is concerned.
As per your own statements, you only think that there is not a convincing argument for trans women participation in sports, I have linked to a number of scientific arguments, and I added the moral in-feasibility of segregation on top of that. Is there anything else?
Yes, source - pew research 66% of adults are against trans people in sports. This and other anti trans sentiment are up from 2017. Now the analysis that goes with that is i’ve watched a ton of online debate (which influences the opinions of all who view it) from the largest politcal and non politcal content creators for the past decade and there is a clear weaponization of trans issues. The reason these issues are being weaponized is because the right know that they can “win” debates on these issues. The arugments they use are not at all convincing in my opinion but they seem to sway the average person.
No you do not understand. I’ll play on the example. If I had said that majority of Germans did not think Jews should marry Germans. I would be aruging that we need to convince majority of Germans that it is ok for Jews to marry germans by finding a argument that is strong.
What do you think im suggesting? I really do not think you at all understand what im suggesting. You’re a .ml user so maybe you think that trying to present a convincing argument in favor of trans rights is morally corrupt.
Who is “you people”? I did not suggest that trans rights were so unpopular that they caused democrats to lose the election. I suggested that they were an issue that the right used to attack the left with great success (I know it was successful because they managed to shift public opinion significantly in a 4 year period). Even you claim that Democrats barely touched the topic, why do you think that was?
No this is not my argument. Its not even remotely close.
I’ve responded to enough of this comment. It makes no sense, it might be AI slop and the people who upvoted it should be ashamed.
AI slop and my ML instance-ship? Ok dude, whatever…
First things first, the 66% is not reliable when you clearly see that the data is segregated along party lines. Nevertheless, there is a rise in favor of restrictions among Democrats and Democrat-leaning respondents. I have explained in the above and I will reiterate here that this can be explained in the network structure and dynamics of MAGA propaganda.
Since you make clear that you do NOT argue for a concession but in pursuit of a convincing argument, I respond below. But you make clear that you are not support watering down trans rights, so that none of the devastating arguments I presented is relevant to your position. Let’s examine that then.
The “convincing argument” you are talking about is a lost cause, because you forget that the right does not listen to reason. If you follow the link I have linked at the word “sports” you will see that there are several arguments about it. It doesn’t matter at all. There are great arguments out there, for the whole range of transphobic fascist propaganda. The problem is that it does not reach critical mass. In comparison, transphobic propaganda is obscenely funded and organized, as the rest of the links suggest. Specifically those links:
Right wing domination of the online media ecosystem
Racist propaganda
Nazi propaganda
Wartime propaganda tactics
Who the fuck funds so many anti-trans hate groups?
Democrat’s media outlets spewing transphobic prejudice
Democrat media outlets 2
Gender critical “leftist” intellectuals
See if you cared about putting forward a convincing argument, you would take links such as this, and this includes my own posts, and would push them to a wider and wider network of ambassadors and online/offline propagandists, to reach as many people as possible. Agitating in left-wing forums, bordering on concern-trolling, crying there is no convincing argument for trans women in women’s sports, does not cut it. It is defeatist and achieves exactly one thing: to out you as a person who is not individually persuaded by a single argument in favor of trans people. I will not make assumptions about your precious individuality as to why is that. For the majority of people it is just SELF-CENSORED cis-genderism.
The plethora of right wing propaganda agents and the substantial amount of center-left cisgenderist apologists gives a sufficient explanation as to why public discourse has regressed more and more to more primitive and dehumanizing stereotypes and truism, no matter how many great arguments trans advocates have put out there.
Additionally:
Even the data you present reveal the most important thing about them: their TIME RANGE. There is no other explanation than the insane reach of transphobic fascist propaganda. I don’t have the tools as an individual to break down how the content has regressed from “legitimate concerns” to raw, primal, animus against trans people. But this is what was done:
They went from “We are NOT saying trans people ARE perverts and predators, BUT that real predators MIGHT exploit self-identification to wear dresses and attack women in segregated spaces”, all the way to “trans people are groomers, rapists and pedophiles” in a span of a few short years.
The arguments were right there, like Zinnia Jones had debunked the bathroom thing as soon as 2015. Same goes for detransition rates and effectiveness of transition. The issue here is not the message but the network of information flow that is entirely controlled by the platforms and the racist and nazi funds that are backing them and manipulating them.
Relevant research also shows (in the propaganda firehose article I have linked in the text) that responding to organized propaganda is futile. The response to this is to GROW SUPPORT for trans people, which is consistent with years and years of insight that transphobes DON’T listen to reason. The rare EXCEPTION is this dude. What changed his mind? Listening. That is what changed his mind.
If you care about trans issues, you should see to the available information to reach as many people as possible, both in quantity as well as information flow patterns in the network.
I would add, a proactive strategy for dismantling platforms and suppressing hate-speech are also part of the solution.
Since you insist that you never said that the left must concede on trans sports and condone segregation on the basis of gender identity, I will take it that my previous argumentation does not apply to your take, and you subscribe that eroding the rights of any protected group is out of the question, as far as your suggested strategy is concerned.
As per your own statements, you only think that there is not a convincing argument for trans women participation in sports, I have linked to a number of scientific arguments, and I added the moral in-feasibility of segregation on top of that. Is there anything else?