Russia could start a major war in Europe within 5 years, Danish intelligence warns – POLITICO
www.politico.eu

Summary

Denmark’s Defense Intelligence Service warns that Russia could launch a large-scale war in Europe within five years if NATO appears weak or divided, especially if the U.S. does not intervene.

The report outlines a timeline where Russia could attack a neighboring country within six months, escalate to a regional Baltic conflict in two years, and potentially engage NATO-wide by 2029.

The assessment comes as Trump pressures NATO members to increase defense spending and has suggested the U.S. might not defend allies who fail to meet financial commitments.

  • Dogyote@slrpnk.netEnglish
    38·
    10 hours ago

    If Moscow perceives NATO as weak, Russia could be ready to wage a “large-scale war” in Europe within five years, the Danish Defense Intelligence Service (DDIS) has said.

    They didn’t say Russia will, they said Russia could. I feel like this is fearmongering to a certain extent. How is the war in Ukraine going for Russia? They’re winning, sure, but they’re fighting hard for every kilometer and it’s costing them. I really don’t think any other country is worth as much as Ukraine is from Russia’s point of view.

    • IceFoxX@lemm.eeEnglish
      21·
      6 hours ago

      People die but remain missing = no costs They finance most of the equipment etc. themselves. Laws are already being changed in the direction of forced child labor and I wouldn’t be surprised if Putin brings forced rape into play if necessary. So losses are manageable even with the junk equipment.

      Ukraine is acting democratically… even the current convocation will do if age limits have to be constantly adjusted. Equipment either from abroad or financed from abroad. Losses are not bearable

      Europe, America and all democracies in the world are sinking into unstable chaos due to Russia’s propaganda machine. No more united action, etc. The majority of the population backing Russia is becoming an ever greater risk and the likelihood of civil war is increasing.

      Etc.

      So people who don’t take this seriously, make fun of Russia, etc. have absolutely not grasped the seriousness of the situation. There are several ways of waging war… even without actively intervening in the events themselves.

    • markko@lemmy.worldEnglish
      2·
      9 hours ago

      I mostly agree with your points, but even the article title very clearly says ‘could’.

      Russia had been encroaching on Ukrainian borders for years before launching their full invasion, and I’m not aware of similar actions against other European nations. It may be fearmongering, but unifying and strengthening NATO is in an important step to take to prevent Putin from going even further. He is heading towards his latter years now, and he seems to like the idea of restoring the ‘glory’ of the USSR and showing the West how big and stronk Russia is.

      Additionally, in a larger-scale war with other, better armed European nations, Russia might not hold back on using their nukes this time round.