reuters.com
www.reuters.com

Summary

Advisers to Donald Trump acknowledge that resolving the Ukraine war could take months, contradicting Trump’s campaign pledge of a “Day One” peace deal.

Trump’s incoming envoy, Keith Kellogg, suggested a 100-day target, but analysts consider even that timeline overly optimistic.

Russia has shown limited interest in proposed peace plans, and Trump’s team is contemplating freezing battle lines and offering Ukraine security guarantees.

Progress has been slow, hampered by diplomatic complexities and legal concerns, such as Kellogg postponing a pre-inauguration Kyiv visit due to the Logan Act.

  • Justin@lemmy.jlh.nameEnglish
    10·
    3 hours ago

    Literally everyone who didn’t vote for Trump was saying this lol

    The fact that Trump might be considering security guarantees is honestly kinda promising, though. Letting Ukraine into nato would be the single best broken clock moment this decade. I don’t think russia will be in a position to accept that within 100 days, but we can hope.

    • LibertyLizard@slrpnk.netEnglish
      2·
      1 hour ago

      I think a lot of people might not realize how strategically constrained international relations are. There are only so many possible solutions to this conflict and Trump’s incompetence or malevolence can only interfere to a certain extent. Especially when others within the government who are negotiating this deal have real interests in protecting Ukraine.

      That said, I think the most likely outcome is no deal but we’ll see.

    • Rolder@reddthat.comEnglish
      2·
      3 hours ago

      I would want to see what caveats a nato peace deal comes with. I will bet it’s like “Ukraine gives up the territory Russia is currently occupying”

      • Justin@lemmy.jlh.nameEnglish
        2·
        3 hours ago

        I think most of the western analysts think that this would be a possible compromise. Allowing Russia to hold Crimea and donbass, at least defacto, and Ukraine joins nato to prevent further incursion by Russia.

          • Justin@lemmy.jlh.nameEnglish
            1·
            39 minutes ago

            Yeah, I think current polling shows that 60% of Ukrainians would be against such a deal, but 30% is also not far off from a majority.

            Worth keeping in mind that Putin’s wargoals continue to be the puppeting of all of Ukraine, and he would not accept Ukrainian NATO membership, either.

            Good analysis on the current state of the war:

            https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vf2vSoWsmgI

            The “What limits ukraine” section discusses the war support polling in Ukraine.

  • Tattorack@lemmy.worldEnglish
    15·
    5 hours ago

    “As soon as I become president, I can make a peace deal that’ll have the war in Ukrainian solved within 24 hours”.

  • disguy_ovahea@lemmy.worldEnglish
    14·
    4 hours ago

    Who cares? Trump’s ‘peace deal’ will be trying to convince Zelenskyy that he should relinquish eastern Ukraine to end the war.

    It’s up to the UK and the EU to support them now. I’m sorry. Many of my countrymen are the fucking worst.

  • AbidanYre@lemmy.worldEnglish
    13·
    5 hours ago

    Trump’s solution of “give Putin whatever he wants” wasn’t very appealing to the Ukrainians.

  • Hemingways_ShotgunEnglish
    2·
    4 hours ago

    TIL “Adviser” isn’t actually a misspelling of “Advisor” but an actual legitimate alternative spelling.

    I was all ready to come in here and rake Reuters for such a basic error, but figured (as I usually do) that I should check my facts before making an ass of myself. Good thing I did…

    • casmael@lemm.eeEnglish
      1·
      3 hours ago

      Apparently adviser is more common in the uk, which makes sense as Reuters is headquartered in London apparently. Spelling is silly anyway do whatever u want m8