• SatansMaggotyCumFart@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    5
    arrow-down
    5
    ·
    2 months ago

    There’s a ton of fence sitters who are going to choose a side in the next couple months and this picture is going to persuade some of them to vote for him.

    • elbucho@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      6
      ·
      2 months ago

      I mean, maybe. But let’s not confuse our fears with evidence, here. There’s no evidence as yet that this incident or this picture will lead to a statistically significant bump in people voting for him.

        • elbucho@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          6
          ·
          2 months ago

          The only real historical example that can be looked at as a parallel is when Reagan got shot in 1981. Yes, he did win the 1984 election in a landslide, but:

          • He won the 1980 election in a landslide as well, so he was already super popular in the country
          • He was the incumbent, and incumbents historically have done well in their re-election bids
          • His opponent was Walter Mondale, a milquetoast neoliberal who was so boring it’s surprising that his name didn’t become synonymous with yawning.

          In short, there’s not really enough evidence to say definitively that an assassination attempt will bolster a candidate’s chances at the polls.