That’s a good question. Anecdotally, when the fight isn’t there, grass roots org tend to diffuse and diminish. I mean look at BLM and the networks that were present in 2020 versus 2021. Once Biden was in office and Trump wasn’t there as opposition, the movement practically evaporated. I’m not sure anecdotes are sufficient for these modern times however. I know that groups like Patriot Front have expressed difficulties recruiting. It also might be a “we didn’t look as carefully as we did previously” kind of monitoring bias.
There are mutual aid groups that were doing extensive monitoring in 2019-2022. I couldn’t speak to whats happened, but I would generally tend to trust the numbers being put out without better information.
The question is, and as far as I can tell the article isn’t making it clear, is this because of increased numbers or just diffusion?
That’s a good question. Anecdotally, when the fight isn’t there, grass roots org tend to diffuse and diminish. I mean look at BLM and the networks that were present in 2020 versus 2021. Once Biden was in office and Trump wasn’t there as opposition, the movement practically evaporated. I’m not sure anecdotes are sufficient for these modern times however. I know that groups like Patriot Front have expressed difficulties recruiting. It also might be a “we didn’t look as carefully as we did previously” kind of monitoring bias.
There are mutual aid groups that were doing extensive monitoring in 2019-2022. I couldn’t speak to whats happened, but I would generally tend to trust the numbers being put out without better information.