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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 15th, 2023

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  • It might end up being different this time around:

    • much of the opposition to nuking the Filibuster was done by people with Respect For Senate Traditions, like Manchin, who are not running again.

    • Democrats that remain remember the shit McConnell pulled when he was majority leader, and are not as likely to have this Respect for Senate Traditions when they know Republican leadership will not hesitate to shit on those traditions if it suits them.

    • since Senate terms each cover 3 sessions of Congress, they are divided into three classes, where 33/34 Senators are in each class. Counting the independant seats, Democrats have 23 seats to defend in this Senate class. If they retain their majority this election, it will be easier to maintain over the next 6 years of their term as Republicans have more seats to defend than Democrats in the next 2 elections. They may be more willing to go full Nuclear if they don’t have to deal with the fallout for a few years.


  • The National Popular Vote movement is a shortcut around the need for a constitutional amendment. States that sign on to it change their EC allocation process so that their state’s votes go to the winner of the national vote – but it only kicks in when enough states sign on to constitute a majority of EC votes.

    IIRC it has passed in enough states to be just over 200 EC votes, but getting the last 70 will be a tough process. Still, it is an easier lift than an amendment. And maybe if it ever passes and makes the EC irrelevant there might be more momentum around the amendment to get rid of it altogether.












  • There’s no guarantee that it will all turn out positive, though. That’s why they call it “risk”.

    Those first few years will be the most vulnerable, as you are not paying down principal very fast. All it takes is a job loss combined with a modest short-term real estate downturn to end up underwater on their house but still needing to sell.

    But if someone is able to buy in now, maintain stable employment, and keep paying that mortgage for 5 years or so, then they will likely be better off than if they had rented all that time. How many people here can say they are confident in their job security over the next 5 years, though?



  • This is actually the way the law is written. Anyone who aids in any abortion, from the clinic performing it to the Uber driver taking her there – is now subject to being sued by random tattletales. The women themselves are not subject to the same thing.

    They did it this way on purpose. They didn’t want the optics of the State going after these people so they specifically made it so that the State AG would not be involved in all. It would just be a bunch of private busybodies looking to get all into other people’s business.