I feel some deja vu watching Trudeau refuse to step aside (early enough), just like with Biden.
I don’t think it’s analogous. The CBC poll aggregate is even more optimistic than 338 and 338 has said libs are sub 1% for a long time, since the start of the year:
Singh passed a leadership review just last year with pretty substantial margins. I don’t see any changes happening unless the liberals do first, in which case the NDP will just be playing follow the leader.
I don’t think it’s analogous. The CBC poll aggregate is even more optimistic than 338 and 338 has said libs are sub 1% for a long time, since the start of the year:
https://338canada.com/federal.htm
Biden was never in the pit that badly.
If an election was held tomorrow and the NDP weren’t competitive in my riding, I wouldn’t bother voting.