• CosmicSploogeDrizzle@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago
    • Die in a few weeks? No
    • Get more users than reddit? No
    • Be a place in the long run for privacy minded people to escape corporatism and have discussions about any topic? Yes
    • treadful@lemmy.zip
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      1 year ago

      Let’s be real, most of the growth of Reddit over the last 5 or so years haven’t been the type of folks generating good content and discussion anyway. Even if Lemmy gets like 1% of the userbase this place is going to thrive.

      • suspecm@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        A large majority of the content posted there seems to be from bot accounts. No matter what you think Reddit’s active userbase is, it is heavily inflated.

        • ConTheLibrarian@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          Yup. I remember seeing a post of the top karma accounts on reddit and it was removed by the admins before I could finish blocking them all.

          Meanwhile back in 2016 when I still bothered to participate in political subs it became painfully clear that the russian troll farms were real and that they were enflaming both sides of issues in order to manufacture outrage.

          Than we saw the consolidation of power mods and retaliatory moderation/administration.

          I hope every bitcoin and nft bro is left holding reddits handbags come IPO.

          Regardless I’ll never go back. If lemmy dies I’ll get a fucking life or something lol

    • burgersc12@sh.itjust.works
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      1 year ago

      I see a ton of support, thousands are making the jump and dozens of apps are being made/getting updated now. Seems Lemmy/Kbin will only grow from here as long as there’s no major setbacks

      • Vaggumon@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Glad to hear it. I deleted 2 accounts with over 100k karama, and moved fully to Lemmy. I’m here to stay as well. Reddit is dead to me.

        • jay@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          100%, 12 year daily reddit user - feels like I’m out of a bad relationship. I moved all my third party apps off three weeks ago and have replaced all my time with Lemmy and the Fediverse.

          I didn’t realize how poorly the experience had degraded - scrolling content mindlessly, most interactions were dull and sometimes weirdly antagonistic.

          Conversely, my experience on Lemmy has been interesting content with more depth, connecting with people in a warm and welcoming way. I don’t expect this to become reddit - I wouldn’t really want it to.

          I am excited for a future here as the third party apps are removed last this week and we can start a new adventure together.

          • Candelestine@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            Even if this does become reddit, here at lemmy.world, just move to a different Instance, block lemmy.world, and boom. Problem solved.

            Would not take long to do. I expect many people will do just this. We’re probably going to be one of the most commonly defederated-with Instances, just due to being the largest and thus, spammiest.

            • Margot Robbie@lemmy.world
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              1 year ago

              But also the one with the most content as well.

              Spam control really depends on the ability of the admins and moderation, as well as the quality of the mod tools. Lemmy is nowhere near the size of reddit yet for that to be a problem.

      • Victron@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Same. I’m not going back. Also, Lemmy/kbin have become way more active than before. I hope they gain more traction.

    • t0fr
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      1 year ago

      I will be. Haven’t deleted my Reddit account yet. Still want to pull out some saved posts. But I’ve unsubscribed from everything so my home page is literally empty. It has no more value to me beyond that.

    • nexguy@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Was using RiF and reddit for 12 years. Been on lemmy for a few weeks and I don’t miss reddit. Certainly not going to try to use the official reddit app. So probably not using reddit even if I wanted to in the future.

  • Ben@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Hmmm the main question is whether it can get it’s content to show up in search results - this being the main selling point of Reddit and other platforms.

    Right now, if you help someone fix an issue it’s pretty much walled in and unavailable.

    • egeres@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Yes, getting lemmy’s link high enough on google that it can even be compared to reddit’s is a critical but immensely difficult battle to fight since the latter has 18 years of inertia, I guess it all comes down to a matter of pumping the OC and high quality content consistently for a very long time

    • manitcor@lemmy.intai.tech
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      1 year ago

      im seeing content from both my instance and beehaw’s in google’s results. stands to reason every instance is in there. I expect that the software likely needs optimizations before everything is properly indexed. before reddit google simply indexed thousands of phpbb and invision boards.

    • hbocao@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Yeah, I was talking to my wife about this.

      Today I can search “whatever reddit”, but with Lemmy-like I have no idea how, since it’s not centralized.

    • Snipe_AT@atay.dev
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      1 year ago

      agreed, is there any way to fix this?

      i’m fairly certain that it really just depends on the google web crawlers to find and index pages. but if the posts are public that’s just a matter of time.

      even with reddit, a post has a new URL so takes some time to be indexed by google or other search engines.

      so maybe it’s just a matter of delivering relevant content over time so that lemmy results get preferred over others

      • what@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        This isn’t true. SEO has been optimized to find good content that engaged users. Long gone are the days of cramming together keyword lists and throwing a few meta tags to rank high. Write high quality (preferably long form) content and it will pay dividends.

        Source: I’ve worked in digital marketing too long.

  • FinalBoy1975@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Lemmy will last because it was already around. I don’t think it will die in a few weeks. Today is my first day using it and I love it. I’m sure anyone who tries it will like it, too.

    • HappycamperNZ@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Been here a week or so - definitely different but I’m enjoying it. Less mindless scrolling, just good chats.

  • Bleeping Lobster@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Two things to bear in mind…

    1. Lemmy existed before this current reddit fiasco, so it will exist after

    2. there are a critical mass of users now, and imo the userbase will continue to grow, with more and more unique content added

    3. Android / iOS apps are out, and in development. Mod tools are coming (iirc). As fediverse becomes less technical / easier to use, it’s only going to attract more people

    • whofearsthenight@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I think it’s likely that we’re only seeing the first wave as well. The ones most affected by third party app shutdowns are the ones that are posting all of the content and doing the moderation. Once the apps go away, it’s likely the most valuable of reddit’s users do as well. I have been on reddit since like 07 I think, and once I can’t use Apollo any longer my use of reddit is effectively gone. I’ll still occasionally browse on desktop, but even then the only way I can tolerate the desktop version is with a bunch of add ons and old.reddit which I assume is next on the block.

      We’ve already seen this on twitter. Now it’s just an echo chamber for nazis, increasingly fewer celebs, and marketers (which, tbh it kinda always has been, it’s just worse now.) Moving over to mastodon wasn’t fun for a week or two, but now there is a critical mass and basically everything I got from twitter I can get from masto now. Twitter still has tons of users and dwarfs masto, but that’s a lot of chaff for not a lot of wheat.

      In terms of apps, some are out, but there is still nothing that comes close to Apollo especially on iOS. With the dev of Sync and I think RIF announcing Lemmy clients, that’s about going to be a done deal. Quite a lot of my regular follows from twitter didn’t move over until Ivory and a couple of other good clients came out, so as soon as there is a comparable set of Lemmy clients, I’d say it’s pretty much done.

      All that said, Reddit’s already a shell of what it was even a few months ago. It’s maybe not as easy to tell, but as someone who’s been there forever, you can tell this is different. And I know personally, even though I used reddit like junkies used meth, I’m now checking rss again, discord for various communities, Lemmy, kbin, and even a few specific forums and so forth.

      Spez running an absolute master class in how to ruin a business.

  • Fubber Nuckin'@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Personal opinion: activity will spike around now, then plateau not much lower than its peak. It’ll probably never be as popular as Reddit. I imagine most people will run into some minor inconvenience, then never try to use it again, and the rest of us will be here for years.

    • sirnak@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I guess a big spike is still ahead, which will be around Saturday, once the 3rd party reddit apps shut down for good.

  • Margot Robbie@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I don’t think Lemmy will ever get the mainstream attention that reddit has to get big celebrity AMAs, but that may be a good thing, if it stays a genuine place like it is currently, people will come.

    • 𝔼𝕩𝕦𝕤𝕚𝕒@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I’m leaning on content I’ve seen thus far but- If this becomes the place where content holds people, they will stay. To replace -the other site- Lemmy needs to be the place the general internet comes to for information and community questions. In this early stage people need to cement “this is where to come for answers” with regards to…everything. eli5, me-irl and even ask-reddit needs to come here. We joke about how Listicles hijack Reddit content but that’s a sign of healthy creation at work. It gets the average non-reddit user conscious of the product and to come there when they have a question.

      What needs to happen (if lemmy wants to replace Reddit) is lemmy needs that. It needs to enter the public conscience as an information nexus. To what degree is up for debate of each Instances admin. Beehaw straight said “nope”

      • Margot Robbie@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        I don’t think reddit is that important to warrant replacement. Should be building something new and better on top of its ruins.

        But I agree, good original content by passionate people is what makes people stay.

    • Flaky@iusearchlinux.fyi
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      1 year ago

      FWIW, some celebrities have took part in the fediverse, specifically Mastodon, to varying successes. Some have stayed and integrated with their communities while others have been chased out. Generally I think if you respect the culture of the fediverse you won’t have that much of a problem, celebrity or otherwise.

  • rtxn@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I don’t think it’ll die… but it is a community that needs to be built basically from the ground up, while both the Lemmy/fediverse backend technology and infrastructure are actively being developed. Reddit refugees who want a drop-in alternative to doomscroll will probably be the first to leave.

    The success or failure will be determined by the number of people willing to make an effort to post. Whether Lemmy (or the fediverse in general) will exceed the numbers of other services… I doubt it, but we wouldn’t be here if we only cared about numbers.

  • Gleddified
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    1 year ago

    I’m ride or die once my 3PA stops working, so I hope it sticks around.

    Gotta say, it would be more attractive if every other post wasn’t a meta post about the platform and/or reddit. I hope we get some bots capable of ripping reddit posts and slapping them into Lemmy communities. As much as I’d like to pretend I’m a man of culture, sometimes I want shitposts and Tiktok reposts of someone’s dog being stupid…

    • Bazoogle@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      That’s funny, because I am quite interested in the meta reddit posts. It’s interesting to see how things are unfolding. Though I do think it will of course settle down with time

  • TotalBullet@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    While I plan on using this platform for the forseeable future - I don’t have too high hopes.

    I think it will probably go the way Mastodon is going. A few weeks of being “hot”, then dropping off until it’s pretty much business as usual, as it was before being the hot new thing. Don’t get me wrong, I want Lemmy to succeed and replace reddit, but I wouldn’t bet money on it.

    • OmniGlitcher@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I’m in a similar boat. I’d argue Lemmy has had more success than the other platforms from the other times this has happened, but whether or not that equates to its longevity remains to be seen.

      In truth, I’d rather have something different to Lemmy, as there’s various annoyances I’ve had and worries I have with this platform. At the same time, it’s my current best hope for a Reddit replacement, and it’s not so egregious as to be unusable.

  • sovietafro@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    If lemmy can get the search algorithm to work well, it’ll be good for a decent while I think… I hope for the sake of the internet everything needs to have some form of competition, and if Lemmy truly becomes the new reddit, hopefully we all learn what they did wrong and can make it better so that we as a collective have the best website/forum/memebase that’s humanly possible