Not looking good
Candidate Party Votes % António José Seguro PS, VP (center-left) 1,754,892 31.11 André Ventura CH(Far-right) 1,326,643 23.52 João Cotrim de Figueiredo IL(right) 902,562 16.00 Henrique Gouveia e Melo Independent supported by PPM (right) 695,088 12.32 Luís Marques Mendes PPD/PSD, CDS–PP (center-right) 637,391 11.30 Catarina Martins BE(left) 116,302 2.06 By my count the right have a majority (52%) without even needing the center-right.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Portuguese_presidential_election?wprov=sfla1
The only silver-lining is that this was a fairly low turnout Primary, so the main results may be better.
This election had high turnout for a presidential. Some of the leaders on the right are afraid to admit support for Seguro, but you already see some others saying they will vote for him. Ventura is too extreme for most and that is why many went with Gouveia.
I’m hopeful. Ventura is very black and white, so I expect those that wanted and will want to vote him, already did, so in the second round he’ll get the same 25%. Fingers crossed.
It was high turnout for a Portuguese presidential election. And Chega is the one who manages to get electors from the previously indifferent. Most IL voters will vote center left if I had to bet though (given the people I know). Gouveia e Melo is a bit more complicated. During the campaign he pandered a lot to the left, but if I had to bet, most voters would vote chega given his nature as a former admiral, who is seen as being able to actually “do things”
