Rapidcreek@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 2 months agoHarris leads Trump 2-1 among the earliest voters, many driven by abortion access: new pollwww.usatoday.comexternal-linkmessage-square40fedilinkarrow-up1359arrow-down19cross-posted to: [email protected]
arrow-up1350arrow-down1external-linkHarris leads Trump 2-1 among the earliest voters, many driven by abortion access: new pollwww.usatoday.comRapidcreek@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 2 months agomessage-square40fedilinkcross-posted to: [email protected]
minus-squareRapidcreek@lemmy.worldOPlinkfedilinkarrow-up11arrow-down1·2 months agoBut, real data is used. There is not a turn out model of past elections. This is real people and real numbers being my point. Every time you vote, your name is checked off on precinct rolls. There’s no guessing on who has voted. Quite handy when it comes to GOTV
minus-squareSc00ter@lemm.eelinkfedilinkarrow-up8·2 months agoBut just because you vote doesn’t mean you take the poll. You can easily walk past or say no. It’s still a poll, yes it’s taken at an election facility, but it is not the same data set as the actual votes
minus-squareRapidcreek@lemmy.worldOPlinkfedilinkarrow-up7arrow-down1·2 months agoSure, you can refuse an exit poll. But, they are surprisingly accurate.
But, real data is used. There is not a turn out model of past elections. This is real people and real numbers being my point.
Every time you vote, your name is checked off on precinct rolls. There’s no guessing on who has voted. Quite handy when it comes to GOTV
But just because you vote doesn’t mean you take the poll. You can easily walk past or say no. It’s still a poll, yes it’s taken at an election facility, but it is not the same data set as the actual votes
Sure, you can refuse an exit poll. But, they are surprisingly accurate.