• Avid Amoeba
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    8 months ago

    Am I the only one who feels dotcom vibes around this field?

    • daddy32@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      I expect this to proceed similarly: many companies and funding dollars will burn in flames and still, the world will be a different place in a decade thanks to this technology.

      • Avid Amoeba
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        8 months ago

        Why am I feeling it isn’t going to be a repeat of the standards-driven co-operative development supported by open source software infrastructure that occurred during the decade and a half after the dotcom bubble… I have a feeling it would resemble the pre mass computing world of AT&T, GE and IBM.

        • andyburke@fedia.io
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          8 months ago

          There are a lot of open source LLMs being developed, ones you can run at home on your own data.

            • LainTrain@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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              8 months ago

              What would be the threshold for them to “take off”? It’s all already out, so already there no?

              • umbrella@lemmy.ml
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                8 months ago

                its been a while, but last i tried it wasnt as good as the proprietary models.

                  • umbrella@lemmy.ml
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                    8 months ago

                    i tried the llama model for text, and another one meant for images i cant quite remember the name but it was one of the main ones.

                    are they any good now? running an llm actually sounds mildly useful.

    • idunnololz@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      Same with crypto right? It’s the standard new tech comes out and 100 companies tries to capitalize and maybe 5% will survive.

      • MojoMcJojo@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        This is the correct answer. Consolidation of resources and power. Sure there will still be those on the periphery trying to make something from the eddies and currents left in the wake of these massive corporate ships cruising by, but the vast majority of the little guys will drown. Unfortunately I don’t see another way for humanity to galvanized enough resources to create AGI in our lifetime. So there will be consequences, but such is life, the biggest mold gets the food. Then come the viruses.

    • mindbleach@sh.itjust.works
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      8 months ago

      Far from it. The AOL-era internet is a great comparison. It’s a hype bubble around a real thing that’s mostly going to do cool shit that’s not profitable. After that burst, we got a ton of globally-important websites from like 1998 to 2008, and nnnot many made money.

      Wouldn’t worry about centralization, though. Local image generators exploded last year. A bunch of companies now already use LLMs for dumb shit, and represent high demand for doing it cheaply on their own instead of as-a-service. Most research has to be open just to get any attention. The whole field is moving so continuously that we’re seeing all the stupid project names picked by programmers. (We’re all dorks. Sorry.)

      If you look up how Stable Diffusion works, it’s damn near “remove all the marble that doesn’t look like a statue.” That kind of troll logic is what’s driving this thing, so of course the assholes with money don’t know what’s real. When they start dropping out, we’re still gonna have the magic bullshit that their hype sped up.

    • Dkarma@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      I love when ppl call out the dot coms as of the winners of the dot com bubble aren’t still around.

      AI will not burst. There is too much value there to too many industries.

      Name one business that doesn’t have a web domain and or FB page. In 20 years u won’t be able to name a company that doesn’t use AI in some way.