Researchers identify sharp rise to about 0.35C every decade, after excluding natural fluctuations such as El Niño

oofff, oh well, I’m sure we’ll keep electing representatives to manage this /s

Climate breakdown is occurring more rapidly with the heating rate almost doubling, according to research that excludes the effect of natural factors behind the latest scorching temperatures.

It found global heating accelerated from a steady rate of less than 0.2C per decade between 1970 and 2015 to about 0.35C per decade over the past 10 years. The rate is higher than scientists have seen since they started systematically taking the Earth’s temperature in 1880.

buckle up buckaroos! we’ve fucked around for 40 yeses. now we’re finding out.

EDIT: Tamino who co authored the paper the Guardian refers to has a blog post about it

https://tamino.wordpress.com/2026/03/07/global-warming-has-accelerated/

All these graphs plot the warming rate in °C per year, but when quoting numbers I have followed the custom these days to talk about the rate in °C per decade. According to this analysis, the current estimated rate is 0.31 ± 0.07 °C/decade.

Which estimate is best? I don’t know, but I do know that even 0.24 °C per decade will take us past 2 °C right around the year 2050. The whole point of the Paris agreement is: DON’T GO THERE. My advice: fasten your seat belt, things are going to get ugly.