Some sources said 2023 was first to hit +1.5C. Must have been 1.495C. This year is ahead of 2023. CO2 measurements this spring were above the decades 2.5ppm per year, which was the highest decade increase. Temperature increases lag CO2 levels.
Forest fires and spread are at high activitity at current temperatures. Arctic ice keeps shrinking without record temperatures. Natural methane releases even as human activity methane gets deregulated.
There is no expectation of seeing a temperature decrease even if 2025 ends up 3rd instead of 2nd. The precision for exact carbon budget may have been overestimated.
Some sources said 2023 was first to hit +1.5C. Must have been 1.495C. This year is ahead of 2023. CO2 measurements this spring were above the decades 2.5ppm per year, which was the highest decade increase. Temperature increases lag CO2 levels.
Forest fires and spread are at high activitity at current temperatures. Arctic ice keeps shrinking without record temperatures. Natural methane releases even as human activity methane gets deregulated.
There is no expectation of seeing a temperature decrease even if 2025 ends up 3rd instead of 2nd. The precision for exact carbon budget may have been overestimated.
It was never that precise; it was a budget for a 50% chance of keeping a long-term average below a given number