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    8 days ago

    Based upon information current and trajectory, I do expect it to get much worse, and for it to be several years to recover. And I’d base “recovery” on more than just the S&P; unemployment, inflation, wealth disparity, and other markers of a healthy economy.

    But I also foresee this incredibly unstable administration from possibly making moves to swing the markets in the other direction. If it does “recover” quickly, it’s because they just picked out collective pockets. Insider trading on a global scale.

    Remember, these are moves made by someone who bankrupted his own casinos. Sometimes, if it walks like a duck…

    • Donald Musk@lemmy.todayOPM
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      8 days ago

      Based upon information current and trajectory, I do expect it to get much worse, and for it to be several years to recover.

      And I don’t agree with this. So I guess we’ll find out. I actually think it’s going to be a quick turnaround.

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        8 days ago

        At what point, measured by whatever metric you wish, would you agree?

        Before you ask, I’ll answer the inverse. I’d consider myself wrong when (if) markets, inflation, and unemployment return to what they were on Jan 19 of this year.

        You’re really gut about one thing, we will find out.

            • Donald Musk@lemmy.todayOPM
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              5 days ago

              Hi. So about the market… Sure am glad I bought a shit-ton of stocks and crypto over last few days when the big crash happened. I’m making bank now.

              How’d you do? Cuz I notice that in conversation you were assuming this was gonna be a long deep hole in the market. Opinion now?

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                5 days ago

                I thought we said weeks/months? It’s been three days.

                My opinion hasn’t changed. In fact, I feel more certain of it now.

                • Donald Musk@lemmy.todayOPM
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                  5 days ago

                  Oh I know it’s still super volatile. Just wondering if you had any updated thoughts based on how wild the swings are getting. Because I’m still on track and haven’t changed my mind either.

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                    5 days ago

                    The wild swings are probably allowing insider trading to rob the American public of their savings. Hardly a way to run an economy.

                    I’m a conservative investor. I put away what I can afford into my retirement fund, and in 20 years hopefully they’ll be enough there.

                    If you want to swing big, go play with crypto or forex or sports betting. Turning the world’s largest economy into an Atlantic City casino or the shittiest pyramid scheme shouldn’t be for wild speculation.

                    What do I think? I think you’re gonna be up 100% in the short term, losing it all in the long term. And we’ll all be poorer until such time as a progressive policymaker (god willing) takes the big seat again.