But do we have a forecast for whether Nate’s algorithm will be accurate, based on past accuracy and factors like the economy and fascists pushing a clueless puppet again? Who’s watching the watchers?
Nate is an aggregator with a model. Him, 538, and others like them are the ones that are literally watching the watchers. Silver is not a pollster, he’s someone that looks at other pollsters past performance and ranks / calculates how likely they are to be correct in current polls.
But do we have a forecast for whether Nate’s algorithm will be accurate, based on past accuracy and factors like the economy and fascists pushing a clueless puppet again? Who’s watching the watchers?
Nate is an aggregator with a model. Him, 538, and others like them are the ones that are literally watching the watchers. Silver is not a pollster, he’s someone that looks at other pollsters past performance and ranks / calculates how likely they are to be correct in current polls.