“If fiscal expenses remain at their January levels throughout the remainder of the year, the NWF reserves could vanish in just three months. And even if they don’t — as is more likely — 2025 is probably the last year Moscow will be able to fully cover its fiscal deficit by tapping into those savings.”

  • skillissuer@discuss.tchncs.de
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    15 hours ago

    not only money runs out, it’s also some categories of military equipment. i mean, it’s not like russia will run out of tanks entirely, because they still have ongoing production, but most of what goes to front are increasingly old rustboxes reanimated in tank factories - because it’s faster than building new one, but that happens too.

    according to perun, they’ll start running out of tanks, ifvs, apcs, things of this type somewhere in 2025 - that is, storages will be emptied and any replacements would have to be new, which means that replacements will come something like 5x slower. it’s a bit harder to say with artillery, because barrels have limited number of shots and it is known that barrels can be taken from towed guns to put them in self-propelled guns. but it’s also bad, even if it means there’s another year there